MLB baseball Minus One Run Bet
MLB baseball minus one run bet is an easy thing to understand. It is just a combination of the money line bet and a run line bet on a favorite.
MLB baseball minus one run bet Example:
Team Money Line Run Line
Dodgers -110 (-1.5) +160
Giants +100 (+1.5) -180
In this scenario the Dodgers are favored on the road against the Giants. If you were to make a bet on the Dodgers on the money line for a $110 you would win $100 if the won the game. If you were to bet $100 on the Dodgers on the run line they would need to win by at least two runs for you to win. The payoff would be more, a $160 win. A minus one line would be betting on the Dodgers on the money line and on the run line in the same game. There are several different combos to use when managing your bankroll on a minus one bet. The most basic is an insurance bet. In this case I could bet $110 on the Dodgers on the money line and $100 on the Dodgers on the Run Line. If they Dodgers win by one run they I break even on my bets. Winning a $100 on my money line bet while losing my run line bet. If they Dodgers win by 2 or more runs then I would win both bets. A $100 from the money line bet and a $160 from the run line bet. Of course, if the Dodger lose then I lose both of my bets.
Bankroll management of the minus one bet. The bet above is a very basic betting baseball betting strategy. Early in the season I tend to use this formula for my betting. After about a month into the season I will go over the run differential trends to see which teams win by one run and which win by more than a run. If I have a team that wins more than 30% of their games by two runs or more then I start to adjust the bet distribution in favor of the run line. It is important to note that I have the away team as the favorite and I am giving -1.5 runs. If the home team is the favorite then the run line bet becomes more precarious. If the home team is trailing or tied going into the ninth inning then the only way for them to cover the run line bet is for a home run to be hit with someone on base. It does happen but not enough for me to include it in my money management. Because of this when I make a home run line bet it is usually for half of what I would have bet on an away run line. If I am willing to make my bet distribution on an away team of 60% run line and 40% money line. Then on a home favorite I would bet 30% run line and 70% money line.