LSU Tigers vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction
2016 College Football Week 1 Preview
LSU vs Wisconsin: Date, Time, Odds,
When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 3, 2016
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Betting Line: LSU -10
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About LSU Tigers
Offense: Starters returning – 9; Defense: Starters returning – 8
RB Leonard Fournette (1,953 yds, 22 TD) returns as a leading candidate to win the Heisman Trophy. LSU’s 105th ranked passing offense needs to improve with QB Brandon Harris back under center.
The Tigers over the last four years have been a good team with a 37-14 record straight up. But, last year was a relatively down season with a 9-3 record. Against the spread they have a 24-26 record. On the road they have a pitful 7-14 ATS record.
On defense in 2015, they were good but not great and gave up an average of 24.3 points a game which was 41st in the country. In yards allowed they ranked 25th in the country. On offense LSU scored 32.8 points a game which ranked 44th. The reason was a down passing year. When it came to rushing the ball LSU was 7th in the country with 257.4 yards a game.
About Wisconsin Badgers
Offense: Starters returning – 6; Defense: Starters returning – 7
The Badgers will have to find a replacement at QB and find a way to get their running game back after having ranked 95th in FBS in rushing in 2015.
Taking a look at the Badgers over the last four years and you see a team that wins consistently. They have a 38-16 straight up record but they are just 27-26 ATS. Last year the Badgers went 10-3 SU and only 6-7 ATS. At home they were 3-4 ATS.
In 2015, a large part of the Badgers problems were on offense which only scored 26.8 points per game which was 81st in college football. What really stood out last year was they only ranked 104th in the country in yards per rush at 3.82. However, on defense. Wisconsin was “the team” in college football. They ranked 1st in the country in points allowed with just 13.7 per game. In rushing yards per game they gave up only 95.4 which ranked 4th in college football. In passing yards per game they ranked 7th in 2015.
LSU vs Wisconsin Betting Trends
Team record: 9-3 SU,6-6 ATS
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Wisconsin’s last 11 games
LSU vs Wisconsin College Football Prediction
New LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda had the best defense in the FBS the past three years at Wisconsin. His move to LSU should create familiarity on both teams. However, it isn’t knowing what the other team will do. It is can you take advantage of it. LSU quarterback Brandon Harris only has to be slightly above average to give this team a shot at winning 10 games. He has a big arm but is really inaccurate.
The Badgers will start 2016 with some big question marks; the loss of the Big Ten’s linebacker of the year, a new quarterback, a new defensive coordinator and three new starters in the secondary. The defense should be a top ten again this year. If Wisconsin is to move up then it is the offense that must improve. Last year they were not able to run the ball. The two biggest factors for the inablity to get the running game going should be improved this year. Corey Clement’s sports hernia injury has healed and an inexperienced offensive line got the reps needed to improve. Clement averaged 4.6 yards per carry in limited action last season, but his career yards per carry is 6.6.
Taking the Badgers plus the points as the LSU Tigers have a history of under performing on the road ATS. This game will be a defensive struggle with LSU unable to take advantage of the new Wisconsin defensive backs because of the lack of top quarterback play.