Astros vs Dodgers Game One Pick
2017 World Series
GAME: Houston Astros (108-65) at Los Angeles Dodgers (111-59)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, October 24 – 8:00 PM EST
WHERE: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Betting Line: Dodgers -173
Run Line: Dodgers (-1.5) +125, Astros (+1.5) -135
2017 World Series Pick
Astros vs Dodgers Game 1
The Los Angeles Dodgers haven’t won a World Series since 1988, while the Houston Astros have never been crowned champions in their 56-season history. The teams begin their attempts to end their respective droughts when Los Angeles ace Clayton Kershaw pitches against Houston’s Dallas Keuchel in Game 1 of the World Series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers, who won 104 regular-season games, rolled through the Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs with standout third baseman Justin Turner excelling by going 12-for-31 with three home runs and 12 RBIs in the eight games.
Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 2.60 ERA) vs.
Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 3.63 ERA)
Keuchel has struck out 25 in 17 1/3 innings over three starts this October and is a solid 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA in six career postseason appearances (five starts). Kershaw has served up six homers in three starts this postseason but his career ledger has improved to 6-7 with a 4.40 ERA in 21 appearances (17 starts).
2017 World Series Game One
Projected Starting Lineups
POS.; DODGERS; AVG.; HR; RBI; COMMENT
C; Austin Barnes; .289; 8; 38; Started four of five games in NLCS, displacing Yasmani Grandal.
1B; Cody Bellinger; 2.67; 39; 97; Still dangerous, even in slumps, with two playoff homers.
2B; Logan Forsythe; .224; 6; 36; A vital contributor against left-handed pitchers; may also start against right-handers.
SS; Corey Seager; .295; 22; 77; His availability is Dodgers’ biggest concern heading into the World Series.
3B; Justin Turner; .322; 21; 71; Co-MVP of the NLCS has a .482 career playoff on-base percentage.
LF; Andre Ethier; .235; 2; 3; Has probably unseated slumping veteran Curtis Granderson as the starter against right-handers.
CF; Chris Taylor; .288; 21; 72; Shared NLCS co-MVP honors with Taylor after homering twice against Cubs.
RF; Yasiel Puig; .263; 28; 74; The breakout star of the Dodgers’ postseason, with 1.169 OPS in the playoffs.
POS.; ASTROS; AVG.; HR; RBI; COMMENT
C; Brian McCann; .241; 18; 62; Scouts say he’s one of the best pitch framers in baseball.
1B; Yuli Gurriel; .299; 18; 75; Cuban doesn’t walk much, but doesn’t strike out either.
2B; Jose Altuve; .346; 24; 81; The 5-6 AL MVP favorite can do it all; has five homers this postseason.
SS; Carlos Correa; .315; 24; 84; Only 23, he missed six weeks this season and still put up big numbers.
3B; Alex Bregman; .284; 19; 71; Steady performer is better in the field than he receives credit for.
LF; Marwin Gonzalez; .303; 23; 90; Utilityman having a career year will also draw starts at first base.
CF; George Springer; .283; 34; 85; Power-hitting leadoff man is a fine defender as well.
RF; Josh Reddick; .314; 13; 82; Said he wanted to play the Dodgers to stick it to fans who booed him last year.
2017 World Series Starting Picthers
T; DODGERS; W-L; ERA; COMMENT
LH; Clayton Kershaw; 18-4; 2.31; His six innings of one-run baseball kept the Cubs quiet in the NLCS clincher.
LH; Rich Hill; 12-8; 3.32; Has given up two runs and struck out 12 in his two playoff starts this year.
RH; Yu Darvish; 10-12; 3.86; If he starts Game 3 in Houston, he won’t be able to replicate his crucial NLCS walk.
LH; Alex Wood; 16-3; 2.72; Victimized by homers in Chicago, he otherwise pitched well after three weeks off.
T; ASTROS; W-L; ERA; COMMENT
LH; Dallas Keuchel; 14-5; 2.90; Former Cy Young winner uses command to overcome below-average velocity.
RH; Justin Verlander; 15-8; 3.36; Aug. 31 acquisition was ALCS MVP after twice shutting down the Yankees.
RH; Charlie Morton; 14-7; 3.62; 33-year-old veteran throws as hard as ever, still using the famed Roy Halladay delivery.
RH; Lance McCullers Jr.; 7-4; 4.25; Bullpen star in ALCS Game 7, but will use curveballs in start against the Dodgers.
T; DODGERS; W-L-S; ERA; COMMENT
RH; Kenley Jansen; 5-0-41; 1.32; Has retired 24 of the 28 batters he has faced in the playoffs.
RH; Brandon Morrow; 6-0-2; 2.06; His 1.08 postseason ERA won’t hurt his case in free agency this winter.
RH; Kenta Maeda; 13-6-1; 4.22; Has appeared in five playoff games and hasn’t allowed a runner to reach base.
LH; Tony Cingrani; 0-0-0; 4.22; Unheralded when acquired in August, he faces opponent’s top left-handed hitters.
LH; Tony Watson; 7-4-10; 3.38; His ability to induce ground balls has continued during the postseason.
RH; Josh Fields; 5-0-2; 2.84; Appeared in three games during first two playoff rounds.
RH; Ross Stripling; 3-5-2; 3.75; Can be used to soak up innings, as he did during the NLCS against the Cubs.
LH; Luis Avilan; 2-3-0; 2.93; Has not pitched since Sept. 21 because of a shoulder injury.
RH; Pedro Baez; 3-6-0; 2.95; Did not pitch in NLDS; was not on the roster for the NLCS.
T; ASTROS; W-L-S; ERA; COMMENT
RH; Chris Devenski; 8-5-4; 2.68; Cerritos native has back-to-back great seasons, but struggled this month.
RH; Ken Giles; 1-3-34; 2.30; Closer throws 100 mph, spins a slider, but has had missteps in October.
RH; Luke Gregerson; 2-3-1; 4.57; Former closer fell out of favor for much of this season.
RH; Will Harris; 3-2-2; 2.98; Warmed up often in the ALCS, but didn’t pitch much.
LH; Francisco Liriano; 6-7-0; 5.66; Acquired at the trade deadline, ex-starter has been used sparingly.
RH; Collin McHugh; 5-2-0; 3.55; Likely to pitch only in mop-up situations only.
RH; Joe Musgrove; 7-8-2; 4.77; Faced four batters in the ALCS and retired two of them.
RH; Brad Peacock; 13-2-0; 3.00; Rose from obscurity at 29 to shine as a starter this season.
Here is the only area where one team has a clear advantage. The Dodgers’ relievers handcuffed the Cubs for the entirety of the NLCS. Chicago didn’t score against the Dodgers bullpen in 17 innings. Kenley Jansen has been nearly flawless, and has not been subjected to heavy usage. Jansen has pitched in seven games, but only two involved multiple-inning outings. The combination of Brandon Morrow and Kenta Maeda can shut down right-handed hitters; Tony Watson and Tony Cingrani can handle the left-handed hitters. The bullpen of Astros manager A.J. Hinch is less reliable. The Yankees roughed up middle relievers such as Chris Devenski, Will Harris and Joe Musgrove. Ken Giles, the heat-throwing closer, has an impressive arsenal of pitches but saw his strikeout rate dip this season. The patience of the Dodgers hitters could defuse most of the Astros’ relievers. Houston relies on curveballs, and the Dodgers tend to hit those well. Hinch is more likely than Roberts to lean on his starters to go deep into games. Advantage: DODGERS.
POS.; DODGERS; AVG.; HR; RBI; COMMENT
C; Yasmani Grandal; .247; 22; 58; Walked three times during his lone start in the NLCS.
OF; Enrique Hernandez; .215; 11; 37; It’s unlikely he’ll ever top his three-homer night in Game 5; who could?
2B; Chase Utley; .236; 8; 34; Looked unsteady during crucial at-bats during Game 4 in Chicago.
OF; Joc Pederson; .212; 11; 35; Could be an option as the designated hitter, but more likely to come off the bench.
C; Kyle Farmer; .300; 0; 2; manager Dave Roberts continues to like him as a pinch-hitter, even against right-handers.
SS; Charlie Culberson; .154; 0; 1; Shined in Seager’s absence during the NLCS; hit .455 against Chicago.
OF; Curtis Granderson; .212; 26; 64; Has struck out eight times in 15 postseason plate appearances.
POS.; ASTROS; AVG.; HR; RBI; COMMENT
C; Juan Centeno; .231; 2; 4; Presence allows manager A.J. Hinch to use Gattis as a pinch hitter.
C; Evan Gattis; .263; 12; 55; Slugger hits without batting gloves — and strikes out a lot.
OF; Derek Fisher; .212; 5; 17; Rookie did not appear in the ALCS; won’t play much in World Series.
OF; Cameron Maybin; .228; 10; 35; Ex-Angel pinch-running threat made one big mistake in the field during ALCS.
DH; Carlos Beltran; .231; 14; 51; Team’s clubhouse leader, 40, is typically at his best during the playoffs.
2017 World Series Game One Betting Prediction
The Dodgers are heavy favorites today and to win it all. However, this is predicated on Clayton Kershaw winning game one. He has been anything but great since coming off the DL with 11 home runs in just over 50 innings of work. He has been pitching up in the one and has gotten away with it in part because of the SOCAL weather. He pitches in the evening when the humidity is higher. That won’t be the case today. My bet on this game is over 7 runs. If I was to take a side it would be the Dodgers because of the bullpen. What I will wait for on a side bet is to see if the Astros get a lead in the middle innings then I can take the Dodgers at plus money.
World Series Game One Betting Pick: Over 7
World Series Game One Score Prediction:
Dodgers 6 – Astros 5
Game One Player Prop Bet Picks at Propbet.bet/MLB