Indiana Hoosiers vs North Carolina Tar Heels
When: 9:57 PM ET, Friday, March 25, 2016
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Odds: North Carolina -5.5, Total: 158.5
TV: 9:57 p.m. ET, TBS
Indiana vs North Carolina Preview
North Carolina has rolled to double-digit victories over FGCU and Providence in the first two rounds after winning the ACC regular-season and tournament titles with versatile senior forward Brice Johnson leading a deep, balanced lineup. The Hoosiers have leaned on their offense all season (82.5 points).
Indiana Hoosiers (27-7): Ferrell recorded 38 points, 14 assists and three turnovers over the last two games while playing an average of 36 minutes. Ferrell, who has 1,961 career points, will need continued production inside from center Thomas Bryant (19 points versus Kentucky, 68.9 percent shooting overall) and forward Troy Williams (13 points, team-high 5.9 rebounds this season). The Hoosiers’ depth is a bit in question with the status of guard Robert Johnson (ankle) and forward Juwan Morgan (shoulder) uncertain.
North Carolina Tar Heels (30-6): Johnson, who is four rebounds shy of becoming the eighth Tar Heel to reach 1,000 in his career, averages a double-double (16.8 points, 10.5 boards) while shooting 61.9 percent from the field. Johnson is a constant while the rest of a deep lineup has taken turns stepping up and senior point guard Marcus Paige (12.0 points) is a key for the Tar Heels after draining 5-of-12 from beyond the arc in the first two rounds. Guard Joel Berry II (12.8) and forward Justin Jackson (12.1) also average in double figures.
Indiana vs North Carolina Betting Predictions
The Hoosiers are more than capable of frustrating North Carolina defensively just like Kentucky, and offensively they are a much better 3-point shooting team. In the first two rounds, Indiana has made 16-of-37 shots from beyond the arc (43.2 percent) compared to 11-of-35 (31.4) for the Heels.
While that might not seem like a big deal in terms of the total made 3-pointers, the percentages fall right in line with the regular-season numbers for both teams.
I like the Hoosiers to hit enough threes to keep the game close and cover the spread.