NCAAB Free Predictions

Villanova vs Oklahoma Final Four Pick

When: 1:00 PM ET, Saturday, April 2, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Odds: Villanova -2.5, Total: 147

Oklahoma Sooners vs Villanova Wildcats Preview

The first thing to take a look at is the last time these two played against each other at the Pearl Harbor Hawaii Invitational. The Sooners won the game 78-55. The Sooners got off to a great start in the first half and opened a 13 point lead on red hot shooting from long range. Buddy Hield scored 12 of his 18 points in the first seven minutes and connected on four shots from long range to set the tone. Villanova rallied back with a 14-2 run to tie the game at 26 but trailed 32-26 at halftime. The Wildcats had an awful shooting night, finishing at 4-of-32 from behind the arc. Oklahoma was the opposite, connecting on 14-of-26 triples and outscoring the Wildcats 46-29 in the second half. The key to the game was Oklahoma hitting on 14 of 26 three point shots. If they are that hot again then they will easily win the game.

Betting Trends

ATS TRENDS
Villanova
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Wildcats are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games.
Wildcats are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Oklahoma
Sooners are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
Sooners are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 Saturday games.
Sooners are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Sooners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Sooners are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

OVER UNDER TRENDS
Villanova
Under is 8-1 in Wildcats last 9 vs. Big 12.
Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 9-2 in Wildcats last 11 games following a straight up win.
Over is 10-3 in Wildcats last 13 overall.
Over is 7-3 in Wildcats last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Oklahoma
Under is 5-0 in Sooners last 5 Saturday games.
Under is 8-1 in Sooners last 9 games following a straight up win.
Under is 12-2 in Sooners last 14 overall.
Under is 11-2 in Sooners last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Sooners last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Sooners last 7 vs. Big East.
Under is 20-8 in Sooners last 28 neutral site games.

VILLANOVA WILDCATS
Josh Hart 14 PTS, 6 REB, 49 FG%
Ryan Arcidiacono 12 PTS, 3 REB, 4.2 AST
Kris Jenkins 12 PTS, 3 REB, 43.5 FG%

OKLAHOMA SOONERS
Buddy Hield 26 PTS, 6 REB, 46.7 FG%
Isaiah Cousins 14 PTS, 5 REB, 4.3 AST
Jordan Woodard 14 PTS, 3 REB, 4 AST

Betting Records Since Last Season
The Villanova Wildcats have been better against the spread going 45-27, +1530. The Oklahoma Sooners are 31-36, -860 ATS. The Sooners covered the spread (12/7/2015: Oklahoma won 78 to 55, Oklahoma covered +5, Game came under 145.5) in their one matchup. The point spread opened at NOVA -1. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the Villanova Wildcats to cover.

Oklahoma vs Vallanova Betting Pick

Take a look at the tape of the last contest and yes the Sooners did get a little lucky with the threes just falling in all game. Villanova did make a good comeback with some good transition play and defense. In the end one thing stood out. Villanova has no answer for Buddy Hield. He could have scored more if he had been needed. It is a little strange to have a team that won by 23 on a neutral court be a dog in a rematch. I am taking the dog to win outright in this one. Buddy will get his points and it will be a closer scoring game but the dog and the under are my plays in this game.

Oklahoma vs Villanova Score Prediction:
Oklahoma 71 – Villanova 66

Bet Breakdown
Oklahoma +2.5 70%
Oklahoma ML 10%
Oklahoma +2.5 & Under parlay 20%