NCAAB Free Predictions

Villanova vs Kansas Pick

When: 8:49 PM ET, Saturday, March 26, 2016
Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky
Odds: Kansas -2.5, Total: 145.5
TV: CBS3 (Jim Nance, Bill Raftery, Grant Hill, Tracy Wolfson)

Kansas Jayhawks vs Villanova Wildcats Preview

Kansas is the slightly higher scoring team, while Villanova is the better defensive team. Kansas is the better rebounding team and also has the shooting advantage in this game. Kansas is shooting 71% on free throws, 42.3% on three-pointers, and 49.6% on all field goal attempts. Villanova is shooting 77.5% on free throws, 35.1% on three-pointers, and 47.4% on all field goal attempts.

Probable starters
VILLANOVA
F Kris Jenkins 6-6, Jr., 13.5 ppg
F Daniel Ochefu 6-11, Sr., 10.1 ppg
G Josh Hart 6-5, Jr., 15.4 ppg
G Ryan Arcidiacono 6-3, Sr. 12.3 ppg
G Jalen Brunson 6-2, Fr., 9.8 ppg
Top Subs
G Phil Booth 6-3, So., 6.8 ppg
G/F Mikal Bridges 6-7, Fr. 6.4 ppg
F Darryl Reynolds 6-8, Jr., 3.8 ppg

Probable starters
KANSAS
G Frank Mason III 5-11, Jr., 12.8 ppg
G Davonte Graham 6-2,, So., 11.2 ppg
G Wayne Selden 6-5, Jr., 13.7 ppg
F Perry Ellis 6-8, Sr., 17.2 ppg
F Landen Lucas 6-10, Jr., 5.7 ppg
Top Subs
G Svi Mykhailiuk 6-8, So., 5.5 ppg
G Brannen Greene 6-7. Jr., 5.4 ppg
F Carlton Bragg Fr., 6-9, 3.9 ppg
F Jamari Traylor Sr., 6-8, 3.0 ppg

The public is 59% on the Kansas Jayhawks to cover the spread. The point spread opened at KANSAS -3. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the Villanova Wildcats to cover.

ATS TRENDS

Villanova
Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Wildcats are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 non-conference games.
Wildcats are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
Kansas
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games.
Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.

OVER UNDER TRENDS

Villanova
Over is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 9-1 in Wildcats last 10 games following a straight up win.
Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last 8 vs. Big 12.
Over is 10-2 in Wildcats last 12 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Wildcats last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
Over is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 8-3-1 in Wildcats last 12 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
Kansas
Under is 12-3-1 in Jayhawks last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 26-7 in Jayhawks last 33 NCAA Tournament games.
Under is 21-7-1 in Jayhawks last 29 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-3 in Jayhawks last 11 Saturday games.
Under is 5-2 in Jayhawks last 7 non-conference games.
Under is 11-5-1 in Jayhawks last 17 games following a straight up win.
Under is 15-7-1 in Jayhawks last 23 overall.

Kansas vs Villanova Predictions

As you can see from the stats that these two teams are close. There is a reason they were the number one and number two seeds in the region…again props to the selection committee for getting it right. What will the difference be in this game. As it usually is in college basketball when the teams are close in talent. Turnovers will decide this game. I give a slight edge in that category to Villanova. I expect this game to come down to within three points one way or the other so I will be taking Villanova with the points and not on the money line. I also like the over in game that should be a lot of fun to watch.

Score Prediction
Villanova 76 Kansas 75