Yale vs Duke NCAA Basketball Pick
When: 2:40 PM ET, Saturday, March 19, 2016
Where: Dunkin’ Donuts Center, Providence, Rhode Island
TV: 2:40 p.m. ET, CBS
Line: Duke -6, Total: 146
Yale vs Duke Betting Preview
Yale (23-6) boast the Ivy League Player of the Year in senior forward Justin Sears (15.9 points, 7.4 rebounds) and another pair of first-team all-conference performers in senior forward Brandon Sherrod (12.4 points, 7.0 rebounds) and sophomore guard Makai Mason (16.3 points). Yale has been excellent on the boards all season and continued that trend against Baylor – improving to 20-2 when winning the rebounding battle. The Bulldogs also have a knack for getting to the foul line, averaging nearly 12 free-throw attempts per game, and will likely need to do so often to pull off a second straight upset. Yale has won 18 of its last 19, including a 79-75 upset of No. 5 seed Baylor on Thursday, and is in the midst of its winningest season since 1906-07.
Justin Sears 14 PTS, 6 REB, 1.8 BLK
Makai Mason 13 PTS, 2 REB, 42.7 FG%
Brandon Sherrod 10 PTS, 5 REB, 0.6 BLK
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.
Bulldogs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Bulldogs are 15-5-3 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Bulldogs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
Duke (24-10) struggled with injuries for much of the year, including the loss of senior big man Amile Jefferson, but their young stars might be emerging at the right time to make a deep run. Allen (21.6 points), freshman Brandon Ingram (16.9 points, 6.9 rebounds) and 7-footer Marshall Plumlee (8.6 points, 8.6 rebounds) each topped 20 points against UNC Wilmington. Plumlee put up 23 points on 9-of-10 shooting and grabbed eight rebounds Thursday, and the Blue Devils need him to again take advantage inside against an undersized Yale team. The Blue Devils stumbled down the stretch, losing three of their last five regular-season games before going 1-1 in the ACC tournament, but they withstood a challenge from No. 13 seed UNC Wilmington in a 93-85 victory Thursday.
DUKE BLUE DEVILS
Grayson Allen 20 PTS, 4 REB, 3.3 AST
Brandon Ingram 18 PTS, 8 REB, 1.3 BLK
Luke Kennard 13 PTS, 4 REB, 41.6 FG%
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Ivy League.
Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.
Blue Devils are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
Blue Devils are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Blue Devils are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Blue Devils are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Blue Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
Yale 76, Duke 73
It’s a rare postseason rematch, as the Blue Devils pulled away for an 80-61 home win over the Bulldogs on Nov. 25. Public consensus is evenly split with 46% on Duke Blue Devils to cover. The point spread opened at DUKE -6.5. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the Yale Bulldogs to cover. I am with the money on this one as I like Yale and the points. Duke has been terrible ATS down the stretch as injuries and an overrated team should Yale at least a cover and a good chance at an outright win.