Georgia vs UNC Pick
2016 College Football Week 1 Preview
No. 16-ranked Georgia will go against No. 20 North Carolina in Atlanta. A return to health for running backs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel could mean Georgia would have a chance at winning the SEC East. The Tar Heels finished unbeaten in ACC play last season, winning 11 games in a row before falling to eventual national runner-up Clemson in the ACC championship game.
Georgia vs UNC : Date, Time, Odds,
When: 5:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 3, 2016
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Betting Line: Georgia -3
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ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (11-3)
Offense: Starters returning – 7; Defense: Starters returning – 7
New starting QB Mitch Trubisky will be tasked with taking over for Marquise Williams, who threw for more than 3,000 yards in each of his last two seasons at UNC. Trubisky completed 40-of-47 passes in 2015 and has thrown 11 touchdowns while backing up Williams the past two seasons. At running back Hood will be back after rushing for 17 scores and averaging 6.7 yards per carry for 1,463 yards. The defense needs to improve in its second season under coordinator Gene Chizik. The Tar Heels allowed 24.5 points per game (14.5 points fewer than 2014). However, they were embarrassed in against Baylor by allowing a bowl-record 645 rushing yards.
Over the last four years the Tar Heels have been a good team, with a 32-20 straight up record and a 26-25 ATS record. As a dog they were 2-1 ATS. When it came to the over/under the over went 8-6.
The offense was a top offense in the country averaging 40.5 points per game. They were number one in yards per play at 7.28. On defense, they ranked 42nd in the country by giving up an average of 24.5 points per game. The weakness in the defense was the inability to stop the run. They ranked 122nd in the country and gave up an average of 247.4 yards per game.
ABOUT GEORGIA (10-3)
Offense: Starters returning – 8; Defense: Starters returning – 6
If RB Nick Chubb (747 yards, 8.1 per carry) is back to full health after having suffered a season ending knee injury last year, Georgia’s running game is likely to be one of the nation’s best. A scoring defense that ranked eighth in FBS in 2015 (16.9) is likely to be one of the top in the country again.
The Bulldogs have been a consistent winner over the last four years with a straight up record of 40-13 however, against the spread they have not been that good and have a 25-27 record. Looking at last years ATS record they are pretty much an average team as a favorite they were 6-6. One thing that does stand out is the over under result. They were just 3-10 when you bet the over.
In 2015, on offense they were not that good and ended the year averaging 26.3 points a game which ranked 85th in the country. The weakness was in the passing game where they averaged 185 yards a game which had them ranked 104th in the country. On defense, they were a top team and ended the year 8th ranked in points allowed at 16.9 a game. The strength of the defense was shutting down the pass as they ranked 1st in the country giving up just 156 yards a game.
Georgia vs UNC College Football Prediction
The Tar Heels offense should keep rolling along. On the other side, Georgia has Nick Chubb and may have Sony Michel. Both have battled injuries, but Chubb has been cleared to play while Michel remains questionable. At the same time, the North Carolina defense does not look to be any better than last years. No, I don’t expect them to give up over 600 yards rushing in a game but I do expect Georgia to be able to run and run and run. Both teams will get the offense moving early and often. I have this one going over the total. On the side, I don’t care who wins because my only bet is the over.