Kansas State vs Stanford Prediction
2016 College Football Week 1 Preview

Kansas State and Stanford will start their 2016-2017 season on the West Coast. The Cardinals have been installed as a large favorite of 16 points and the opening total has gone up from 46 points to a current 48 points. It looks like the sportsbooks have made their choice on who will win and they have made it a Stanford pick

Kansas State vs Stanford; Time, Date, Odds

When: 9:00 PM ET, Friday, September 2, 2016
Where: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California
Betting Line: Stanford -16
Total: 48
Current Lines From Bovada Sportsbook
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About Kansas State Wildcats

Offense: Starters returning – 5; Defense: Starters returning – 7
After a disappointing injury filled 6-7 season Kansas State will have both of its top two quarterbacks, Jesse Ertz and Alex Delton back. Look for fifth-year senior S Dante Barnett to lead the Wildcats defense in 2016.

Over the last four years the Wildcats have been a solid program going 34-18 straight up. However last year they only managed a 6-7 record straight up. The record against the spread over the last four years has been close to the SU record with a 31-19 record. Last year they went 6-6. Kansas State has some real splits when it comes to covering. At home they are 19-9 while on the road they are 12-10. The non-conference record is 7-9 while within conference they have a top ATS record of 24-10.

In 2015 the offense was held back by injuries but they still managed to average 29.9 points a game which ranked 58th in the country. On defense, they took a step back and allowed 31.5 points a game on average which ranked 93rd in the country. In particular, they were bad against the pass and ended up ranked a lowly 121st in the country in passing yards per game.

About Stanford Cardinals

Offense: Starters returning – 6; Defense: Starters returning – 6
Winning the Rose Bowl is the best that a PAC12 team can do outside of winning a national title. If they are going to get back to the Rose Bowl they will need to settle on a new quarterback. They do have the luxury of RB Christian McCaffrey (2,019 rushing yds, 645 passing yds) returning and he is a real Heisman Trophy candidate.

Over the last four years Stanford has a 43-12 straight up record but only a 33-22 ATS record. Last year the Cardinals were 10-4  ATS and 12-2 straight up. At home over four years they have been 16-11 with a 5-2 ATS record last year. Against non-conference teams 8-8 over four years and 2-2 ATS last year.

In 2015 they had a top offense. They averaged 37.8 points a game which ranked 18th overall. The offense was in the top half in College Football in every area but it was rushing the ball that they really stood out. The Cardinals ran for an average of 223 yards a game which ranked 19th in the country. On defense, they were again a top tier team that gave up an average of 22.6 points a game which ranked 32nd in the country. However, there was a weakness on defense that can be important in this game. The Cardinals ranked 67th in the country in average yards per rush at 4.32.

 

2015 Kansas State vs Stanford Betting Trends

Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 5 games
Kansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 5 games on the road

Stanford Cardinals
Stanford is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford’s last 5 games
Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford’s last 7 games at home

Kansas State vs Stanford Pick

Based on last years stats this game would be a blowout but, this isn’t 2015. The Wildcats never got the offense rolling last year because they lost both starting quarterbacks to season ending knee injuries. Well, both are back and they bring a full year of film room time to the table. The Cardinals dominated last year and they should be in the race for the top team in the PAC12 South Division. The difference this year is that Kansas State will be able to take advantage of the Cardinals weakness in stopping the run. I like the Cardinals to win and to put up some points on the Wildcats but Kansas State should be able to keep it close enough to get the cover.

Free Pick: Kansas State +16 & Over 48

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