Michigan State vs Notre Dame Pick College Football

In their last action, Notre Dame was a 39-10 winner as they battled Wolf Pack at home. Notre Dame covered in the game as a -28-point favorite, while 49 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Notre Dame opened the season with a double-overtime loss at Texas. The Spartans have had two weeks to prepare for Notre Dame due to an early bye in Week 2 after beating Furman in week one.

When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 17, 2016
Where: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
Line: Notre Dame -7.5
Total: 50.5
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC

About Michigan State (1-0):

The Spartans had more trouble than expected in Week 1 as the offense was inconsistent with senior Tyler O’Connor taking over at quarterback after spending three years backing up Connor Cook.  O’Connor, who threw three touchdown passes in the win over Furman in week one did start a game against a ranked team last season (Ohio State) in place of an injured Cook and managed 89 passing yards in a 17-14 win.

Michigan State is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Michigan State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 6 games
Michigan State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Michigan State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
Michigan State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
The Spartans are 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
Michigan State is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Michigan State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan State’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame

About Notre Dame (1-1):

Kizer was named the full-time starter over Malik Zaire after throwing five touchdown passes in the narrow loss to Texas and then had another solid performance against Nevada. Kizer completed 15-of-18 passes for 156 yards and two touchdowns in the Week 2 win and added a rushing score.
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Notre Dame is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Notre Dame’s last 23 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Notre Dame is 5-10-2 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Michigan State
The Irish are 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Michigan State
Notre Dame is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame’s last 9 games when playing at home against Michigan State

Michigan State vs Notre Dame Prediction:

Lets look at some trends that mean something. Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly is 0-5 ATS at home against a rested opponent and 2-12 ATS as a favorite of seven or more points against a Big Ten opponent.  The last 11 times the Spartans have been underdogs, they’ve covered nine times while winning seven of those games. Michigan State is 7-1-1 ATS in South Bend, Ind.
The Michigan State Spartans have another top defense and they should be able to keep this one a lower scoring game. While I am not sold on the Spartan offense they will be able to get a few first downs against a defense that was slashed by Texas. Taking Michigan State +7.5 with a small side bet on Sparty on the money line.

Michigan State vs Notre Dame Pick: Michigan State +7.5