Navy vs East Carolina Betting Preview 10-13-16

When: October 13, 4:30 PM Las Vegas Time
Where: Grass of Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Betting Line: Navy -3
Total: Current Lines From Bovada Sportsbook
TV: ESPN

Current Lines From Bovada Sportsbook
College Football Futures Odds from Bovada Sportsbook
College Football Halftime Odds from Bovada Sportsbook
Live in play betting lins from Bovada Sportsbook

Navy vs East Carolina Preview

The American Conference is turning up the heat on the mid major talk. Now that Navy beat Houston and looks to keep rolling to the West Conference Title. The East Carolina Pirates have not fared as well this season with only a 2-4 record overall and an 0-2 record in conference play. They were run over by the Florida Bulls last week and the inability to stop the run is not what you want to hear if your about to play Navy. That Navy win over Houston has them in the top 25 and a chance to go to a major bowl game this year.

Last Week Betting Recaps

Navy was a 46-40 winner in their most recent outing at home against Cougars. They covered the +15-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (86) made winners of OVER bettors.

In their last action, East Carolina was a 38-22 loser on the road against Bulls. They failed to cover the +14.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (60) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. East Carolina is tied for 89th in the country in turnover margin at -3.

About Navy Midshipmen (4-1)

Navy isn’t as high a ranked offense as you might think. They are 104th in yards but they did improve to 57th in points scored. Why do they do better? They don’t make mistakes. On defense they ranked 47th in points allowed. Navy is 3rd in the country in turnover margin. Does the word, discipline come to mind? +19 turnovers!!!

Navy Betting Trends:

Team record: 4-1 SU,3-2 ATS
Navy is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
Navy is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy’s last 6 games
Navy is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy’s last 6 games
Navy is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy’s last 5 games when playing East Carolina

About East Carolina Pirates (2-4)

Why is East Carolina only 2-4? You would think that a team that ranked 8th in the country in offensive yards per game would be a little better than this. But, yards don’t win games. Points do and the Pirates rank 71st in the country in scoring. That is an ugly difference. It reflects a team that gets cheap yards late and an offense that has trouble putting up touchdowns. On defense, East Carolina is 94th in yards allowed and 95th in points per game allowed. Pretty consistent and pretty bad.

East Carolina Betting Trends:

Team record: 2-4 SU,2-4 ATS
Current Streak: lost 4 straight games.
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina’s last 6 games
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of East Carolina’s last 12 games
East Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
East Carolina is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
East Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
East Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Navy
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina’s last 5 games when playing Navy

Navy vs East Carolina Prediction:

The small line reflects that attitude that Navy will be a little down after the big win over Houston. It was the most important victory for Navy in years and a little celebrating would be normal. However, this is Navy and they will not be allowed to celebrate too much. I can see Navy getting off to a slow start but the turnover margin and the discipline of Navy will be to much for the Pirates. The line is sitting at 3 and as far as I am concerned that is a gift. I can see Navy winning by 15 or more. Give the three points and take a side bet on over 10.5 when the prop bet line comes out later this week.

Midshipmen vs Pirates Pick: Navy -3 (Navy -10.5 on a prop bet)