Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
College Football Free Pick 11-05-16

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 5, 2016
Where: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas
TV: Noon ET, FS1.
Current Lines From Bovada Sportsbook

Oddsmakers currently have the Longhorns listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Red Raiders, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.

Texas Tech was a 27-24 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Horned Frogs. They covered the +9.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (51) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Last time out for Texas, they were a 35-34 winner as they battled Bears at home. Texas covered in the match as a +3.5-point underdog, while 69 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
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Texas Longhorns (4-4, 2-3 Big 12):

Foreman has been the workhorse for Texas – which is 0-4 on the road – with 173 of the team’s 388 carries for 1,105 yards and 10 touchdowns. Texas’ offense is balanced with an average of 259.9 yards passing behind freshman Shane Buechele (2,013 yards, 17 TDs, six interceptions) and three receivers with at least 20 catches. The Longhorns allow 32.8 points but have recorded 17 sacks and 34 tackles for losses in the four games since coach Charlie Strong took over the defensive play-calling duties.

Team record: 4-4 SU,5-3 ATS
Texas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Texas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas’s last 12 games on the road
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 7 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech

Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-4, 2-3):

The Red Raiders average 600.3 total yards and 47.4 points behind Mahomes, who has a team-high 10 rushing touchdowns to go with his 3,519 passing yards and 28 TDs. Jonathan Giles (55 catches, 927 yards, 11 TDs) leads seven Red Raiders with at least 20 receptions while freshman Da’Leon Ward (156 rushing yards in six games) led the team with 147 all-purpose yards (including a season-high 98 rushing) against TCU. The Red Raiders rank 123rd in scoring defense (41.4 points) and 104th in rushing defense (213.8) while allowing 21 scores on the ground.

Team record: 4-4 SU,6-2 ATS
Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Texas Tech’s last 22 games
Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Texas Tech’s last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Texas Tech’s last 15 games at home
Texas Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas Tech is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Tech’s last 7 games when playing Texas
Texas Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
Texas Tech is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas

Texas vs Texas Tech Betting Prediction

On the surface, Texas Tech should put up a lot of points against a Longhorns defense that struggles to get off the field. However, Tech is one-dimensional this year and doesn’t have the run game we’ve seen before. The Longhorns look like they can be a real dangerous team the rest of the year.

Longhorns vs Red Raiders Pick
Texas Longhorns -3.5

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