USC vs Stanford PAC12 Prediction

Stanford star Christian McCaffrey  set a school record 461 all-purpose yards to help Stanford clinch last season’s Pac-12 title with a 41-22 victory over the Trojans in December. The junior running back began this season’s Heisman Trophy runt on with 210 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns in a 26-13 win over Kansas State. USC followed its 52-6 loss to Alabama in the season opener with a 45-7 rout of Utah State.
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When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, September 17, 2016
Where: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California
LINE: Stanford -8.5
Total: 52.5
TV: 8 p.m. EST, ABC

About USC (1-1):

USC won its last outing, a 45-7 result against Aggies on September 10. USC covered in that game as a -16.5-point favorite, while the 52 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Max Browne threw for 182 yards last week and connected with JuJu Smith-Schuster for two touchdowns after the star wideout was held to one catch against Alabama in the opener. USC will look to control the clock behind a solid offensive line and running back Justin Davis, who ran for 99 yards against Stanford in last season’s Pac-12 title game. The Trojans need improvement from their defensive line but have a shutdown cornerback in Adoree’ Jackson, who returned a punt 79 yards for a touchdown last week and could be the most dynamic player on the field besides McCaffrey.
Southern Cal is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
USC is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Cal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Cal’s last 11 games on the road
USC is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Stanford
Southern Cal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Cal’s last 9 games when playing Stanford
Southern Cal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Stanford

About Stanford (1-0):

Stanford was a 26-13 winner in their most recent outing at home against Wildcats. They covered the -12.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (39) made winners of UNDER bettors. Senior Ryan Burns made his first career start against Kansas State and threw for a serviceable 156 yards with one touchdown, but he’ll receive a tougher test against USC’s secondary.
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford’s last 6 games
Stanford is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Stanford is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Southern Cal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford’s last 9 games when playing Southern Cal
Stanford is 7-1 in its last eight conference openers, with the lone setback being a 13-10 loss to USC in 2014.
Stanford is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Cal
The Cardinal are 47-6 at Stanford Stadium since 2008
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USC vs Stanford Prediction:

Seven of the past 10 games have been decided by eight points or fewer. USC was humilated by Alabama and the betting nation watched the game and have an image of USC as an overrated and soft team. They maybe, but Stanford also maybe overrated. The drop off in quarterback play was noticable against Kansas State and the Stanford defense is not as good as last years team. This game is in Stanford and I like the Cardinals to win a game that will go down to the last series. Take the points as long as you can get +7.

USC vs Stanford Pick: USC +8.5