Wisconsin vs Michigan State Preview

The Big 10 is looking good this year and they have one of the top match ups of the day with No. 8 Michigan State hosting No. 10 Wisconsin. The Spartans come off a big win at Notre Dame while the Badgers are hoping for a better outing than last week’s six-point win over Georgia State.

Michigan State ran for 260 yards, including 198 and three touchdowns combined by LJ Scott and Gerald Holmes in the win over Notre Dame. Defensively, the Spartans have been stingy against the run, allowing a Big Ten-best 72 yards a game, though the Badgers have also been tough, ranking second with an 82.3-yard average. Wisconsin is averaging 31 points but who is starting at quarterback is still up in the air, as coach Paul Chryst has juggled senior Bart Houston and freshman Alex Hornibrook in the season’s first three contests. The Badgers are hoping to get leading rusher Corey Clement (197 yards, three TDs) back after he missed the Georgia State game with an ankle injury.

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, September 24, 2016
Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan
TV: Big Ten Network
Betting Line: Spartans -4
Total: 41
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About Wisconsin Badgers (3-0):

In their last action, Wisconsin was a 23-17 winner at home against Panthers. They failed to cover the -35.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (40) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Wisconsin is unbeaten and averaging more than 30 points, but the Badgers are still very concerned about their play in the red zone this season. Chryst’s squad is 91st in the nation in touchdowns scored per red-zone trip at 53.3 percent (8-for-15). Last year, the team scored a touchdown on 64.8 percent of its trips into the red zone, a percentage the Badgers will need to get much closer to if they hope to contend in the Big Ten West.

Team record: 3-0 SU,2-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Wisconsin’s last 14 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Wisconsin’s last 14 games
Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Badgers are 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Wisconsin is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Wisconsin’s last 11 games when playing Michigan State
Wisconsin is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State

About Michigan State Spartans (2-0):

Michigan State was a 36-28 winner in its last match on the road against Fighting Irish. They covered the +7-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 64 sent OVER bettors to the payout window

A big question for Michigan State entering the season was the play at quarterback, with Tyler O’Connor taking over. But two games in, and O’Connor has shown poise, even on the road against Notre Dame. He has (431 passing yards, five TDs, two interceptions).

Team record: 2-0 SU,1-1 ATS
Michigan State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 7 games
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at homea’s last 7 games
Michigan State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 7 games
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games at home
Michigan State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Michigan State’s last 11 games when playing Wisconsin
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin

Wisconsin vs Michigan State Prediction:

The defense for both teams has dominated early in the season. Both have been great at stopping the run and they should both be able to do that again this week. However, both teams will be able to pass and will actually have to pass early if they are going to get the running game going later in the game. When these two teams play each other for some strange reason the offenses get in high gear. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Wisconsin’s last 11 games when playing Michigan State. I like the same thing to happen again in this one. Taking a relatively low over of 41 to the bank.

Wisconsin vs Michigan State Pick: Over 41 points