Wisconsin Badgers vs. Northwestern Wildcats
College Football Free Pick 11-05-16

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Northwestern Wildcats Preview

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 5, 2016
Where: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois
TV: Noon ET, ABC. LINE: Wisconsin -7.
Current Lines From Bovada Sportsbook

Oddsmakers currently have the Badgers listed as 7-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 41.

Last time out for Northwestern, they were a 24-20 loser as they battled Buckeyes on the road. Northwestern covered in the match as a +26-point underdog, while 44 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Wisconsin won its last outing, a 23-17 result against Cornhuskers on October 29. Wisconsin failed to cover in that game as a -9-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Wisconsin (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten):

With leading rusher Corey Clement bottled up for most of the day (exactly half of his 82 yards rushing on 19 carries came on one late rush), Dare Ogunbowale erupted for a season-high 120 yards, including the eventual game-winning touchdown in overtime. Ryan Connelly started in place of injured leading tackler Jack Cichy at inside linebacker and earned Big Ten co-Defensive Player of the Week honors after recording a career-high 11 tackles (two for loss) and two pass breakups. Wisconsin is one of four FBS teams to boast a pair of players with at least 10 pass breakups (Derrick Tindal has 12 and Sojourn Shelton has 10), helping the Badgers post the best touchdown-to-interception ratio in the country (0.4) and tie LSU for fewest TD passes allowed (four).
Team record: 6-2 SU,6-2 ATS
Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games
Wisconsin is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin’s last 7 games on the road
Wisconsin is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Northwestern
Wisconsin is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Wisconsin is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern

Northwestern (4-4, 3-2):

Clayton Thorson ranks third in the league in passing yards (1,942), yards per game (242.8) and touchdowns (15) – the last of which is the most ever by a sophomore quarterback in school history. Favorite target Austin Carr was held out of the end zone for the first time in seven games versus Ohio State, but the senior receiver collected a career-high 158 yards on eight catches and still leads the conference in receptions (58), receiving yards (878), receiving yards per game (109.8) and touchdowns (9). Defensive end Ifeadi Odenigbo did not record a sack for the first time in four games, but he remains the Big Ten leader with eight and needs 6.5 more before the end of the season to tie the school record.
Team record: 4-4 SU,5-3 ATS
Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Northwestern’s last 8 games
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Northwestern’s last 8 games
Northwestern is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Northwestern is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 5 games at home
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Prediction: Northwestern +7

Wisconsin plays close low scoring games. This should be another one and I will take the points. I would shop around and if you can get 7 take it. If it drops below 6 points then I would lay off the game.