Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants Predictions

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants 07-26-16 Prediction

To make a Giants prediction now means ignoring the record in the first half and focusing on what they have done lately.  The San Francisco Giants continue to stagger out of the All-Star break and the hot Reds will attempt to keep the Giants down. They defeated the Giants yesterday with a 7-5 victory. The Reds are 7-3 since the All-Star break and have scored 45 runs over their past seven games.  San Francisco’s slump has diminished its lead in the National League West to 2 1/2 games over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

There is a difference between where the money is going and where the bets are going. A majority of the bets are on the Giants but a majority of the money is on the Reds to win.  70% of the bets are on the San Francisco Giants to win at the current line. The line opened at SF -135. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the Cincinnati Reds to win.

Reds vs Giants; Time, Date, TV, Odds

GAME: Cincinnati Reds (39-60) at San Francisco Giants (58-41)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, July 26 – 10:15 PM EST
WHERE: AT&T Park, San Francisco, California
TV: 10:15 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FSN Ohio (Cincinnati), CSN Bay Area (San Francisco)
MONEY LINE: Reds +120, Giants (-130)
RUN LINE: Reds +1.5 (-190), Giants (-1.5) +165
TOTAL: 8.5 Over (-110)
Current MLB Betting Lines from Bovada

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Preview

Starting Pitchers:
Reds LH Cody Reed (0-4, 6.75 ERA) vs
Giants RH Matt Cain (1-6, 5.88)

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About Cincinnati Reds

Reed is winless in six major-league starts but is coming off his best performance. He didn’t allow an earned run in six innings against Atlanta on July 19 when he gave up five hits and two unearned runs in a no-decision. However, that game was against the worst team in baseball and by no means should the Giants starting lineup be compared to the Braves. Reed has served up nine homers in just 30 1/3 innings and opposing hitters are batting .311 against him.

CINCINNATI REDS BETTING TRENDS

Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Cincinnati is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Money Line On Road; 15-32, -1000 (31.9%)
Money Line As Road Underdog; 14-32, -1085 (30.4%)
Money Line when Cody Reed starts; 0-6, -600 (0%)
Over/Under On Road; 28-16-3 (63.6%)
Over/Under On Road When Line is 8 or 8.5; 10-5 (66.7%)
Over/Under when Cody Reed starts;5-1 (83.3%)

About San Francisco Giants

Cain returned from a hamstring injury and was shelled for five runs and six hits in 2 1/3 innings in a loss to Boston. He served up three homers in the defeat and has allowed 11 in 59 2/3 innings this season. Cain is 4-5 with a 3.21 ERA in 11 career starts against the Reds.

How bad is Matt Cain? Cain has allowed a .352 batting average, fifth worst in the majors, against left-handed hitters in 2016. The San Francisco Giant’s Matt Cain has pitched into the seventh inning in just two of his 12 starts. One reason: Opponents are hitting a major-league-high .468 against him after his 75th pitch of a game. Among qualifying starting pitchers, he has the majors’ worst record (0-3) and eighth-worst ERA (6.66) against teams under .500.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING TRENDS

San Francisco is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco’s last 11 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco’s last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
San Francisco is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Money Line As Favorite; 41-19, +634 (68.3%)
Money Line As Home Favorite; 24-11, +354 (68.6%)
Money Line when Matt Cain starts; 4-8, -280 (33.3%)
Over/Under At Home; 26-21 (55.3%)
Over/Under At Home When Line is 8 or 8.5; 5-5 (50%)
Over/Under when Matt Cain starts; 7-5 (58.3%)

MLB Umpire Betting Stats

Joe West 19 Games: Home teams 11-8, Over 9-8.
See ALL MLB umpire stats at OddsScores.Live

Reds vs Giants 2016 Betting Results

5/2/2016: San Francisco won 9 to 6, as a -169 favorite, Game went over 8
5/3/2016: San Francisco won 3 to 1, as a -179 favorite, Game came under 8.5
5/4/2016: Cincinnati won 7 to 4, as a -110 favorite, Game went over 8.5
7/25/2016: Cincinnati won 7 to 5, as a +118 underdog, Game went over 7.5

Reds vs Giants Pick

Will Cain turn it around tonight? I don’t think so. He is coming off one of his worst efforts, when he was bombed for three home runs in just 2 1/3 innings in an 11-7 loss at Boston last Wednesday. He gave up six hits and five runs to the Red Sox, dropping his record to 1-6 while raising his ERA to 5.88.

Reds rookie Cody Reed, who has had troubles of his own this season. The left-hander is still searching for his first big-league win, as he is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in six starts. I don not understand why the total is not double digits but, I am happy it isn’t. Taking the over. This could be Cain’s last start for the Giants as they are in the market for another pitcher for a playoff run.

Live betting tip. If Cain gets to the 75 pitch count. Hammer the other side. I don’t care if the Giants are up 10-0 at that point. I will hammer the Reds +9 runs.

Reds vs Giants Prediction:
Giants 7 – Reds 6

Current MLB Betting Lines from Bovada
Current MLB futures odds from Bovada