Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Previews

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions 07-21-16

Brewers vs Pirates MLB Prediction for today. Pirates will try to take the rubber game of the series against the Brewers today. The Pittsburgh Pirates won’t get very far in the race for a playoff spot in the National League if they lose a home series against a sub-.500 team. The Pirates dropped two of three at Washington coming out of the All-Star break and overcame a second straight blown save by Mark Melancon to take the series opener from the Brewers 3-2 on Tuesday. Pittsburgh starter Jeff Locke looked shaky in the 9-5 setback in the second game of the series. The Brewers are like many teams are looking to the trade deadline to help farm system.

Pirates vs Brewers; Time, Date, TV, Odds

GAME: Milwaukee Brewers (40-52) at Pittsburgh Pirates (48-46)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, July 21 – 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee), ROOT (Pittsburgh)
MONEY LINE: Brewers +165, Pirates (-185)
RUN LINE: Brewers +1.5 (-125), Pirates (-1.5) +105
TOTAL: 9.5 Over (-110)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

Starting Pitchers:
Brewers RH Matt Garza (1-3, 5.74 ERA) vs
Pirates LH Francisco Liriano (5-9, 5.11)

About Milwaukee Brewers

Garza absorbed the loss in each of his last three starts and gave up four runs on six hits and two walks in 5 1/3 innings against Cincinnati on Friday. He has been hit hard recently and he has given up 15 earned runs in just 15 1/3 innings over the last three starts. Not want you want to see if you are trying to trade him for some prospects.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Brewers are 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee’s last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Money Line On Road; 17-30, -1025 (36.2%)
Money Line As Road Underdog; 14-29, -1179 (32.6%)
Money Line when Matt Garza starts; 1-5, -370 (16.7%)
Over/Under On Road When Line is >=9.0; 5-1-1 (83.3%)

About Pittsburgh Pirates

Liriano continues to struggle with his control as he issued four walks in six innings at Washington on Friday. He leads MLB with 62 walks and has not gone more than six innngs since a loss to Atlanta on May 18. Liriano, who is seeing the Brewers for the first time this season, went 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA and eight walks over 15 1/3 innings in three starts against them in 2015.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh’s last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Money Line At Home; 25-21, +82 (54.3%)
Money Line vs Teams That Win <46% of Game; 18-10, +347 (64.3%)
Over/Under vs Teams That Win <46% of Game; 20-7-1 (74.1%)

Brewers vs Pirates Head to Head

Brewers vs Pirates Results 2015

4/10/2015: Pittsburgh won 6 to 2, as a +115 underdog, Game went over 7.5
4/11/2015: Milwaukee won 6 to 0, as a -125 favorite, Game came under 8
4/12/2015: Pittsburgh won 10 to 2, as a +100 underdog, Game went over 8.5
4/17/2015: Pittsburgh won 6 to 3, as a -125 favorite, Game went over 7.5
4/18/2015: Pittsburgh won 6 to 2, as a -140 favorite, Game went over 7.5
4/19/2015: Pittsburgh won 5 to 2, as a -175 favorite, Over/Under was a push vs 7
6/8/2015: Milwaukee won 2 to 0, as a +140 underdog, Game came under 7.5
6/9/2015: Milwaukee won 4 to 1, as a +160 underdog, Game came under 7.5
6/10/2015: Pittsburgh won 2 to 0, as a -170 favorite, Game came under 7.5
7/17/2015: Milwaukee won 4 to 1, as a -120 favorite, Game came under 8.5
7/18/2015: Milwaukee won 8 to 5, as a +115 underdog, Game went over 8
7/19/2015: Milwaukee won 6 to 1, as a -135 favorite, Game came under 8
9/1/2015: Milwaukee won 7 to 4, as a +145 underdog, Game went over 8
9/2/2015: Milwaukee won 9 to 4, as a +135 underdog, Game went over 9
9/3/2015: Milwaukee won 5 to 3, as a +121 underdog, Game went over 7.5
9/10/2015: Milwaukee won 6 to 4, as a +160 underdog, Game went over 8
9/11/2015: Pittsburgh won 6 to 3, as a -175 favorite, Game went over 7.5
9/12/2015: Pittsburgh won 10 to 2, as a -175 favorite, Game went over 8
9/13/2015: Pittsburgh won 7 to 6, as a -210 favorite, Game went over 7.5

Brewers vs Pirates Results 2016

4/15/2016: Milwaukee won 8 to 4, as a +130 underdog, Game went over 7.5
4/16/2016: Pittsburgh won 5 to 0, as a -150 favorite, Game came under 8.5
4/17/2016: Pittsburgh won 9 to 3, as a -130 favorite, Game went over 8
7/19/2016: Pittsburgh won 3 to 2, as a -158 favorite, Game came under 8
7/20/2016: Milwaukee won 9 to 5, as a +140 underdog, Game went over 9

MLB Umpire Betting Stats

Gerry Davis 19 Games. Home Teams 8-11, Over/Under 9-10

Brewers vs Pirates MLB Prediction

Both of the starting pitchers have been roughed up lately. Garza looks like he is in a free fall and if he doesn’t turn it around soon, he will have no trade value. Liriano has had control problems all year. He just doesn’t have the power to pitch like he used to and he is trying to nibble away at the plate. Both teams have seen these starters before and will be waiting to tee off on them. I can’t back the Pirates at such a steep price because Liriano just doesn’t have it. The only pick I am making on this one is the over. It is quite a bit of runs to shoot for outside of Coors field. However, that is where I put my money. Over 9.5 runs.

Score Prediction:
Pirates 7 – Brewers 6