Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates 07-27-16 Free Pick

Mariners at Pirates prediction for July 27th, 2016. The Seattle Mariners have been a top team in interleague play this season, with a major league best 10-3 mark against the National League. The Mariners on Wednesday will look for a sweep of their two game series with the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Mariners took Tuesday’s game 7-4 and the Mariners have won five of seven to gain ground on the slumping Texas Rangers.

The public is 68% on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win at the current line. The line opened at PIT -153. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the Seattle Mariners to win.

Mariners vs Pirates; Time, Date, TV, Odds

GAME: Seattle Mariners (51-48) at Pittsburgh Pirates (51-48)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, July 27 – 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, ROOT (Seattle, Pittsburgh)
MONEY LINE: Mariners +135, Pirates (-145)
RUN LINE:  Seattle +1.5 (-160), Pittsburgh (-1.5) +140
TOTAL: 8 Over (-120)
Current MLB Betting Lines from Bovada

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

Starting Pitchers:
Mariners LH James Paxton (3-4, 4.18 ERA)
Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (5-6, 2.99)

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About Seattle Mariners

After striking out five batters in his previous three outings, Paxton fanned nine on Friday and improved to 2-1 in that stretch with a dominating performance at Toronto. He allowed a solo homer and three hits in seven innings of a 2-1 win. Paxton has pitched well on the road, posting a 2-2 mark while his ERA (3.62) .

SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING TRENDS

Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle’s last 14 games on the road
Seattle is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle’s last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Money Line On Road; 26-25, -22 (51%)
Money Line As Road Underdog; 15-19, -272 (44.1%)
Money Line when James Paxton starts; 3-7, -408 (30%)
Over/Under On Road; 21-27-3 (43.8%)
Over/Under vs PIT; 2-1 (66.7%)
Over/Under when James Paxton starts; 5-5 (50%)

About Pittsburgh Pirates

Cole rebounded from a dismal return from the disabled list to beat the Phillies on Friday, allowing one run on six hits in six innings in a 4-0 loss. Cole’s last victory was on May 20 and he is 0-3 with a 3.96 ERA in his last five starts. Cole is 1-3 at home despite posting a 2.89 ERA in Pittsburgh this year.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING TRENDS

Pittsburgh is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games
The Over/Under has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh’s last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games when playing Seattle
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Money Line At Home; 28-23, +67 (54.9%)
Money Line vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs; 34-25, +515 (57.6%)
Money Line when Gerrit Cole starts; 6-8, -363 (42.9%)
Over/Under At Home; 34-17 (66.7%)
Over/Under At Home When Line is 8 or 8.5; 18-7 (72%)
Over/Under when Gerrit Cole starts; 8-6 (57.1%)

MLB Umpire Betting Stats

Alfonso Marquez 19 Games: Home teams 13-6, Over 9-10.
See ALL MLB umpire stats at OddsScores.Live

Mariners vs Pirates 2016 Betting Results

6/28/2016: Seattle won 5 to 2, as a -163 favorite, Game came under 8
6/29/2016: Pittsburgh won 8 to 1, as a +110 underdog, Game went over 8.5
7/26/2016: Seattle won 7 to 4, as a +120 underdog, Game went over 7.5

Mariners vs Pirates Pick

The Pirates need to win these games if they have any chance of catching the Cubs. The Mariners are gaining ground on the slumping Texas Rangers and getting Paxton on a roll can really help them move into a playoff position. However, not today. Paxton has been good on the road but Cole is hot at home and the Pirates will win a close game tonight. I also like that Marquez is umpiring tonight. Two-thirds of his games go to the home team. Taking a few bets on my Pirates prediction. Placing 50% of my money on the Pirates money line at (-145), 40% of my money on under 8 at even money and, 10% on a parlay of the Pirates and the under.

Mariners vs Pirates Prediction:
Pirates 4 – Mariners 2

Current MLB Betting Lines from Bovada
Current MLB futures odds from Bovada