Toronto Blue Jay vs Oakland Athletics Pick

Blue Jays vs Athletics Pick

The Toronto Blue Jays finished the first-half on a roll and are on top of the American League East. However, they have ran into a hot Oakland team after the All-Star break and dropped a pair of in Oakland. They try to avoid the sweep Sunday afternoon against the Athletics. The Blue Jays were not blown out as both games were decided by one run. In yesterdays game, Oakland scored four early runs and tacked on a solo home run from Khris Davis, (his second of the game) to win on Saturday with a 5-4 score. Khris Davis has started the second half of the season hot as he also homered in Friday’s series opener. If you play daily fantasy baseball the he is a lock as he has gone deep in each of his last three games against Toronto.

Toronto vs Oakland; Date, Time Odds

GAME: Toronto Blue Jays (51-42) at Oakland Athletics (40-51)
DATE/TIME: Sunday, July 17 – 4:05 PM EST
WHERE: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, SportsNet (Toronto), CSN California (Oakland)
MONEY LINE: Toronto (-105), Oakland (-105)
RUN LINE: Toronto +1.5 (-215), Oakland (-1.5) +185
TOTAL: 8 Over (-115)

Starting Pitchers:
Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (12-3, 3.36 ERA) vs
Athletics LH Rich Hill (9-3, 2.25)

Happ ended the first half of the season hot with six straight wins while allowing a total of 12 earned runs. He held Detroit scoreless through 5 2/3 innings and struck out nine in a victory on July 8. J.A. Happ has 20 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings over his last two appearances. He defeated Oakland with seven quality innings April 23 in Toronto and is 4-0 with a 2.95 ERA in eight career games vs Oakland.

Hill is 6-0 with a no-decision over his last seven starts, which was interrupted by a stretch on the disabled list. While he has been exceptional overall, his home numbers (2-3, 3.45 ERA) are a bit more pedestrian, but he has gone at least six innings in his last four starts in Oakland while allowing two or fewer runs in each of the games.

MLB Umpire Betting Stats

Paul Emmel 15 Games Home Win 9-6 Over/Under 8-6

Toronto vs Oakland Betting Trends

Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games when playing Oakland
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Money Line as Underdog or Even; 9-16, -720 (36%)
Money Line when J.A. Happ starts; 13-5, +328 (72.2%)
Over/Under on road; 17-28-1 (37.8%)
Over/Under on Road When Line is 8 or 8.5; 4-13 (23.5%)
Over/Under vs Oakland; 4-1 (80%)
Over/Under when J.A. Happ starts; 9-9 (50%)

Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland’s last 6 games at home
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games when playing Toronto
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Oakland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Money Line at home; 19-26, -856 (42.2%)
Money Line as a home dog; 7-12, -317 (36.8%)
Money Line when Rich Hill starts; 9-4, +451 (69.2%)
Over/Under at home; 20-23-2 (46.5%)
Over/Under at Home When Line is 8 or 8.5; 10-15-1 (40%)
Over/Under when Rich Hill starts; 4-8-1 (33.3%)

Toronto vs Oakland 07-17-16 Game Prediction

Oakland homered six times in the first two games of its series with Toronto, winning both and helping send both Over the total. The high scores won’t continue today for either side. Blue Jays starter J.A. Happ (12-3, 3.36 ERA) and Athletics starter Rich Hill (9-3, 2.25 ERA) are tough lefties who enter Sunday’s game looking like they are in top form. Happ has a 2.95 ERA and 41 strikeouts over his last six starts. Hill has allowed two or fewer earned runs in nine of his past 10 starts. This is a contest that features two starters in the top 12 in ERA among AL starters.

The Under is 4-0 in Hill’s last four starts overall, and 9-3 in Happ’s last 12 road starts. In addition, the Under is 6-2 in umpire Paul Emmel’s last eight games behind the plate. My primary pick is on the under with a smaller bet on Oakland to sweep. I don’t like taking teams to sweep against teams with winning records but the Jays just are not the same team on the road and Oakland has been a streaky team this year. Right now the Athletics are on a hot streak and there is money to be made when teams with losing records get hot.

Blue Jays vs Athletics Score Prediction 07-17-16
Oakland 4 – Toronto 2

80% on the under and 20% on Oakland money line.