Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Free Pick 8-29-16

Toronto vs Baltimore Preview

The Baltimore Orioles host the division-leading Toronto Blue Jays on Monday in the opener of a three-game series. The Orioles were stomped by a combined 27-9 in the first two games at New York before taking the last one 5-0. Mark Trumbo has gone deep in back-to-back games and tops the majors with 40 homers. Baltimore’s pitching staff will be tested by a Toronto offense that produced 32 runs and nine homers in a three-game sweep of the Minnesota Twins.

GAME: Toronto Blue Jays (74-56) at Baltimore Orioles (71-59)
DATE/TIME: Monday, August 29 – 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, TVA Sports, Sportsnet (Toronto), MASN (Baltimore)
Money Line: Toronto -117, Baltimore +107
Run Line: Toronto -1.5 (125), Baltimore +1.5 (-145)
Total: 10 (-125)

About Toronto Blue Jays

Marco Estrada (7-6, 3.47 ERA)

Estrada’s ERA was shelled for six runs on 10 hits over five innings in a loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday. He served up three homers over four innings in a no-decision versus the Yankees in his previous start and has given up six home runs over the last three games. He is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts versus Baltimore this season.

About Baltimore Orioles

Orioles LH Wade Miley (8-10, 5.51)

Miley earned his first victory in five starts since he was acquired by Seattle after giving up two runs over five innings to beat the Washington Nationals. He had been pounded for six earned runs in each of his previous two turns but managed to escape with a pair of no-decisions. Miley dropped to 1-3 with a 6.04 ERA versus the Blue Jays after tossing six innings of two-run ball on July 24.

Betting Stats

Not yet available.
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line On Road; 34-28, -114 (54.8%)
Money Line when Marco Estrada starts; 12-10, -189 (54.5%)
Over/Under when Marco Estrada starts; 9-13 (40.9%)

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line At Home; 42-22, +1318 (65.6%)
Money Line when Wade Miley starts; 2-3, -18 (40%)
Over/Under At Home; 25-36-3 (41%)


Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction 8-29-16

Two power hitting teams and two pitchers that are giving up home runs. See where this is going. I know that the Orioles have leaned toward the under in home games with only 41% of the games going over the total. However, these two pitchers have been really bad lately. I look at this as a question of which team has the better relievers. The  lean is to Baltimore at home with the better depth in the bullpen. I am going to make two bets on this game. I am placing 50% on the over and 50% on the Orioles money line. These are two straight bets and not a parlay.

Toronto vs Baltimore Free Pick: Orioles money line & over