Blue Jays vs Rangers Pick, Preview, Prediction

GAME: Toronto Blue Jays (90-73) at Texas Rangers (95-67)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, October 06 – 4:30 PM EST
WHERE: Globe Life Park in Arlington, Arlington, Texas
LINE: Texas (-120)
TOTAL: 9
TV: 4:38 p.m. ET, TBS, Sportsnet (Toronto)

Toronto vs Texas Preview Game 1 Preview

In baseball we often here, “these teams don’t like each other”. However in this case it is true. Last year,  the Blue Jays battled back from a 2-0 deficit to win the series in five games.  Remember that bat flip by Jose Bautista after a go-ahead home run in Game 5. What you might not know is that Bautista was hit by a pitch the final time the teams faced off during the regular season. He went hard into second base attempting a takeout slide against Rougned Odor, who took exception and knocked Bautista back with a hard right hand to kick off a bench clearing brawl.

About Toronto Blue Jays Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (9-9, 3.48 ERA)

Estrada was strong down the stretch, allowing a total of two runs in 19 innings over his final three turns, to bounce back from a rough stretch over the previous month. He has been a big game pitcher and in the playoffs last season he went 2-1 record and a 2.33 ERA in three starts to go along with 15 strikeouts and one walk. One of those wins came at Texas, where Estrada breezed through 6 1/3 innings on one run and five hits to help Toronto avoid elimination in Game 3.

Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto’s last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto’s last 15 games when playing on the road against Texas
Toronto is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Texas

About Texas Rangers Rangers LH Cole Hamels (15-5, 3.32 ERA)

The Rangers try to take a commanding lead in the series by throwing aces Hamels and Yu Darvish in the first two games, with Hamels getting the nod in the opener. However, Hamels struggled down the stretch, allowing five or more runs in four of his final six starts. Hamels started twice in the postseason against Toronto in 2015 and went 0-1 while allowing a total of nine runs (four earned) in 13 1/3 innings.

Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas’s last 13 games
Texas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas’s last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto
Texas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto

Toronto vs Texas Prediction:

How many times have we seen the Wild Card team go on a run? Well, the Blue Jays have a chance to do that with Estrada on the mound. I like to look at the last month of the season to base my picks on in the playoffs and these two pitchers have been going in opposite directions. Right now, Estrada is a better pitcher than Hamels. I am not the only one who thinks so as the line has moved toward the Blue Jays.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Pick: Toronto money line.