Cavaliers vs Warriors Prediction
The NBA Finals, Game 1 #CLEvsGSW
Thursday, June 2, 6:00 PM on ABC
Oracle Arena, Oakland
Odds: Warriors -5.5
Current Cavaliers vs Warriors Game One Lines from Bovada
Five Betting Trends you need to know
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
2016 NBA Finals Game One Preview
The NBA Finals get underway Thursday, and we’ll see a rematch of last year’s Finals when the Warriors defeated the Cavs to win the Championship. Last year the Cavs were short-handed, with Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving both sidelined due to injury. With Cleveland at full strength, we could see some higher scores than we saw in the Finals a year ago.
The Cavaliers were not a three point shooting team during the regular season, but have become one in the playoffs. They broke an NBA record for made three-pointers in their series versus Atlanta, and averaged over 40 attempted three-pointers per game against the Raptors. The Warriors we all know like to put up the threes. This will be one of the bigger differences between this years finals and last years. If the Cavaliers can shoot the threes then they can come back from the Warriors offensive runs.
Of course the other big difference from last years NBA Finals is the health of the Cavaliers. They were without Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love due to injuries. It will be the true match between these two teams with everyone healthy.
The two best players in the NBA go at it again with LeBron James who has won two NBA championships (2012, 2013), four NBA Most Valuable Player Awards (2009, 2010, 2012, 2013), two NBA Finals MVP Awards (2012, 2013) while Stephen Curry has won 2 regular season MVP but yet to win any Finals MVP. Of course, Curry is sporting a 2015 NBA Championship ring.
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Below are the 2016 NBA Finals Schedule
Game 1 – Thursday, Cavaliers at Warriors, 9 p.m. on ABC
Game 2 – Sunday, Cavaliers at Warriors, 8 p.m. on ABC
Game 3 – June 8, Warriors at Cavaliers, 9 p.m. on ABC
Game 4 – June 10, Warriors at Cavaliers, 9 p.m. on ABC
Game 5* – June 13, Cavaliers at Warriors, 9 p.m. on ABC
Game 6* – June 16, Warriors at Cavaliers, 9 p.m. on ABC
Game 7* – June 19, Cavaliers at Warriors, 8 p.m. on ABC
2016 NBA Finals Starting Lineup’s
Golden State’s starting lineup (2016 playoff stats) — Stephen Curry (26.7 ppg, 6.1 apg), Klay Thompson (26.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg), Andre Iguodala (8.8 ppg, 3.6 rpg), Draymond Green (15.1 ppg, 9.8 rpg), Andrew Bogut (5.0 ppg, 6.5 rpg)
Cleveland’s starting lineup (2016 playoff stats) — Kyrie Irving (24.3 ppg, 5.1 apg), J.R. Smith (12.0 ppg, 3.4 rpg), LeBron James (24.6 ppg, 8.6 rpg), Kevin Love (17.3 ppg, 9.6 rpg), Tristan Thompson (4.9 ppg, 8.4 rpg)
Warriors Preview — Curry, Thompson and Green are going to have to play their best ball of the season. Yes, there are more contributors on the team but the Cavaliers are hungry and the top talent will need to deliver. Green, who struggled in Games 3 and 4 against the Thunder will need to stay in the game. He can not afford to throw away a season with one of his tantrums.
Cavaliers Preview — It is our big three against your big three. James has been in top-form so far this postseason, the four-time MVP needs to continue to be just that on the NBA’s biggest stage. Cleveland will have Love and Irving back after last year’s injury-riddled postseason. Irving has played well this postseason (other than his 3-of-19 outing in Game 3 vs. Toronto), but now has to play against the back-to-back MVP. Don’t overlook the importance of love. When he struggled the Cavaliers had their only two losses of the post season.
Finals Game One Betting Trends
- The home team has gone 15-3 straight up in Game 1 of the last 18 NBA Finals
- Nine of the last 13 victories have come by double digits and 12 have come by eight points or more
- The ‘under’ has gone 8-3-1 in the last 12 openers
- Golden State has gone 2-1 SU in Game 1 matchups in this year’s playoffs while going 2-1 against the spread
- The Warriors are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home in the playoffs
- Cleveland is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in Game 1’s this postseason but play their first series opener on the road
- In the Cavs’ first road game in each of their first three series, they’ve gone 2-1 both SU and ATS
- Overall, Cleveland is 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road in this year’s playoffs, while the Cavs are listed as an underdog for the first time this postseason
NBA Finals Game One Prediction
Cleveland vs Golden State
The Cavaliers are a much healthier team than last years team. With that health comes a new playing style for the playoffs. An offensive focused team that can hit threes. What to expect in game one is a slow start as both teams come out like boxers looking to take some jabs. The slow start should keep the total low and I like the Warriors at home giving the points.