Oakland Raiders vs Houston Texans
Wild Card Game Betting Pick

When: 4:35 PM ET, Saturday, January 7, 2017
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Betting Line: Texans -3.5
Over / Under: 36.5

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Oakland Raiders vs. Houston Texans Betting Preview

Live Betting Lines for Raiders vs Texans
NFL Team & Player Props Odds
NFL Player Prop Betting Odds * Brock Osweiler, Connor Cook

Oddsmakers currently have the Texans listed as 3.5-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game’s total is sitting at 36.5.

Houston lost its last outing, a 24-17 result against the Titans on January 01. The Texans failed to cover in that game as a +3-point underdog, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Last time out for Oakland, they were a 24-6 loser as they battled the Broncos on the road. The Raiders failed to cover in the match as a +1-point underdog, while 30 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Oakland: (12-4 SU,10-6 ATS)

The Raiders (12-4) are in the playoffs for the first time since 2002 and Jack Del Rio is a top NFL Coach of the Year candidate. However, in Week 16 the Raiders shot at the Super Bowl ended when quarterback Derek Carr broke his leg. But, this is the Wild Card round and unless you are making a futures bet on the Super Bowl don’t worry about next week.

Cook is expected to get the start here and if he does then he would become the first quarterback in the Super Bowl era to make his first NFL start in the postseason.

The Raiders were one of the top running teams in the NFL this season but, in large part that was because the defenses were worried about Carr and kept the safety’s deep to stop the pass. Houston ranked No. 2 against the pass in the NFL during the regular season, so expect a heavy dose of the run Saturday by the Raiders. However, the Broncos stacked the box to stop the run and dared Oakland to win by throwing and the Raiders had just 57 yards rushing.

Oakland Raiders Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland’s last 10 games
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland’s last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games when playing Houston

Houston: (9-7 SU,6-9-1 ATS)

The Texans won the NFL’s worst division for a second year in a row. In last year’s wild-card playoffs at home, Houston lost 30-0 by Kansas City as then-starting QB Brian Hoyer had five turnovers. Houston went in the free agent market to get the top quarterback so it wouldn’t happen again. They signed Broncos free-agent Brock Osweiler to a four-year deal worth $37 million guaranteed.

That move was a giant bust as Osweiler was struggling so badly that he was benched during Week 15. Tom Savage replaced him and led a comeback win over the Jaguars and then started the victory over the Bengals. But against Tennessee, Savage, who started again, suffered a concussion so Texans coach Bill O’Brien already has said he’s starting Osweiler in this one. Osweiler was 21-for-40 for 253 yards and a touchdown vs. the Titans in relief of Savage, who will be the No. 2 if he clears the concussion protocol. Osweiler was the NFL’s second-lowest rated QB this season.

Houston will get a key player back from injury with running back Lamar Miller. He missed the final two weeks of the regular season with an ankle injury.

Houston Texans Betting Trends

Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston’s last 12 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Houston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing Oakland

Oakland Raiders vs Houston Texans
Wild Card Game Prediction: Raiders +3.5

The Texans and Raiders met back in November, a game Oakland won 27-20 in Mexico City. In that game, the Texans actually had six more first downs than the Raiders and allowed just 30 rushing yards. Lamar Miller had over 100 yards rushing. The Texans were able to shut down the Raiders rushing game and held Latavius Murray to 34 yards rushing. It was the deep passing game of Carr & the Raiders that lead to the victory.
With both teams starting quarterbacks who are more likely to lose a game than win one. Look for both head coaches to learn toward a conservative game plan that will lean on the defense and rushing game.
On the side bet the key number is over 3 points. This game will be difficult to watch and a few big plays one way or the other on special teams can make a difference. I am betting on a close low scoring game with the field goal kickers the top offensive weapons for both teams.

Raiders vs Texans
Score Prediction: Texans 16 – Raiders 13