NFL Free Pick 12-04-16
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Preview

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 4, 2016
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Falcons -5.5. O/U: 49
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The fans at Georgia Dome will be treated to a game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Atlanta Falcons when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 5.5-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game’s total is sitting at 49.

Atlanta won its last outing, a 38-19 result against the Cardinals on November 27. The Falcons covered in that game as a -4-point favorite, while the 57 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 30-27 winner as they battled the Broncos on the road. The Chiefs covered in the match as a +3.5-point underdog, while 57 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Kansas City (8-3):

Kansas City has survived despite a mediocre offense that has topped 300 total yards just once in the last four games. The Chiefs have missed star receiver Jeremy Maclin, who has been sidelined for three straight games with a groin injury, but his absence has helped open up more playing time for rookie speedster Tyreek Hill, who last week became the first player since Gale Sayers in 1965 to record rushing, receiving and return touchdowns in the same game. Kansas City’s saving grace has been a defense that leads the league in takeaways (24) and features dynamic pass rushers Justin Houston and Dee Ford.

Team record: 8-3 SU,5-6 ATS
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games when playing Atlant

Atlanta:(7-4):

Atlanta’s offense is one of the best in the league and features a prolific duo in quarterback Matt Ryan and receiver Julio Jones, who leads the league in receiving yards (1,140) and recorded 108 and two touchdowns in Atlanta’s 40-24 win at Kansas City in 2012. The backfield combination of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman gives the Falcons decent balance and will need to be effective to keep the Chiefs’ defense honest. The Falcons’ most glaring weakness is their pass defense, which ranks last in the league but has held three of its last four opponents under 300 passing yards.

Team record: 7-4 SU,7-4 ATS
Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons

Free Pick: Kansas City +5.5 points.

The Chiefs go on the road to face the Falcons and their run game and defense both should travel well. The Chiefs are on a 6-1 run, with the only loss coming by two points. I am taking the points in a game that I have coming down to a field goal one way or the other.