Cardinals vs Panthers Betting Pick
NFL Betting Lines
From a quality standpoint, Sunday’s NFC Championship bout between the Carolina Panthers (16-1 SU, 12-5 ATS) and the Arizona Cardinals (14-3 SU, 9-8 ATS) could be the best game of the entire season. The Panthers opened as a 3.5-point home favorites with a total of 48.
The Kick-off is at 6:40 PM ET on FOX.
Carolina earned the No. 1 seed in the NFC after nearly running the table during the regular season. The Panthers are coming off a strong 31-24 win over the Seattle Seahawks (+3 away) in last week’s Divisional Round matchup; however, defensive end Jared Allen suffered a broken foot and is considered doubtful for Sunday after skipping Wednesday’s practice.
The No. 2 Cardinals are relatively healthy, and they’ll have the benefit of an extra day of rest after beating the Green Bay Packers (+7.5 away) 26-20 in overtime on Saturday. Arizona should have some betting value playing against likely MVP winner Cam Newton. The advanced stats suggest that Carson Palmer is the more deserving candidate, but can Palmer adjust to playing outdoors in January? Sunday’s weather forecast calls for clear skies over Bank of America Stadium, with temperatures in the low 40s at kick-off.
Cardinals vs Panthers Betting Trends
Arizona is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona’s last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina’s last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 6 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The number one and two seeds play in a game that will have the top two quarterbacks in the NFC. Last week the Seahawks showed how to attack the Panthers defense…just throw the ball. Carolina linebackers are can be beat in coverage so if the defensive line does not get to the quarterback there will be mid range passing lanes. Palmer and Fitzgerald can exploit this. On the Cardinals side of the ball they are relatively healthy but they still have a big whole at safety. They can also be beat deep. The Cardinals had a lot of trouble with scrambling quarterbacks this year and they go against the best in Newton. What does this add up to? My primary bet is on the over with a side bet on the Cardinals money line.