Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos Pick | Super Bowl 50 Prediction 02-07-16

Superbowl 50 Prediction
Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos Pick

About Super Bowl 50

Where: Location: Levi’s® Stadium, Santa Clara, CA 95054
Capacity: Seats approximately 68,500
TV: CBS Sports, Kickoff 3:35 Las Vegas time
The game will be streamed online by CBS

Super Bowl 50 Line: Carolina Panthers -6, Total: 45
Super Bowl 50 Lines | Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

Super Bowl 50 Preview

The Panthers opened as a 4 point favorite and the line has been bet up to 6 points. One Nevada sportsbook has had 94% of the money bet on the Panthers. At that rate if you like the Broncos, wait.

Time to take a look at some key 2015 season stats. A quick review shows that the Carolina Panthers dominate in the offensive stats. Panthers averaged 31.3 points per game which was first in the NFL. The Broncos were in the bottom half with only a 22.2 points per game average which was good enough for 19th place. But, look at the Bronco’s defense. They were the top defensive team against the pass. Cam Newton has had some big days throwing the ball this year and it will be on the Bronco defense to keep him in the pocket and force him to be a drop back passer. The Seahawks used that strategy in the second half of the divisional playoff game and it worked. Cam can hit the deep pass and he is good in the middle of the field to the tight end. But, the sideline passes from the pocket are still not accurate enough to consistently move the offense.
The Broncos offense has been mediocre at best. Even with Manning it is the defense and a big play here or there that accounts for them making it to the Super Bowl. With all of the talk about Peyton Manning. It is the Broncos running game that will decide if they are going to be competitive in this game. CJ Anderson has to do his part. The Panthers have been one of the top teams in stopping the pass. Here is the strategy I expect to play out. The Broncos will stick with the run even if does not seem effective. As long as they don’t fall behind like Seattle or Arizona did they will keep running the ball. They can keep the game close and use play action against the Panthers linebackers. In fact, I do expect a close game.

Stats are provided in pictures below. Feel free to download them for your reference.
I have released my Super Bowl 50 prop bet picks on

PropBets.Football * Super Bowl 50 Prop bets

I should have about 25+ prop bets up this week. Team prop bets and individual player prop bets.

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos Picks

The spread has been going all the Panthers way as the public has been hammering the line. It has moved from 4 to 6 points as I write this. Even some large bets have hit Vegas on the Panthers. But, don’t be fooled. Large bets are not the same as expert bets. Vegas always gets some large action from some rich people on one side. It is usually the public side and this year is no exception.

Updated ** They are hitting the Panthers & some books have dropped the spread to 5.5. I am taking the 5.5 and not waiting.
I expect a close game. The Panthers blew out the Cardinals in large part because Carson Palmer is a choker. He looked shaky against the Packers but got a couple of lucky bounces that bailed him and the Cardinals out. Manning, for all of his faults is not a choker. He has had bad games in the playoffs because he tried to do too much. With the top ranked defense in the NFL he will not need to carry the team. I am looking for a close game from beginning to end.

Panthers vs Broncos Picks: Denver +6 and over 45.5

How will I divide my bets on the game
70% on Denver +5.5 (if your book lets you buy the hook then go +6)
20% on the over
10% on Denver money line

Super Bowl 50 Score Prediction:
Denver 26 – Carolina 24

The score is the starting point for my prop bets that are available at PropBets.Football

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