NFL Cleveland Browns vs Philadelphia Eagles Pick

Two new head coaches go at it in this one. Doug Pederson leads Philadelphia after coming over from Kansas City. As the Chiefs’ offensive coordinator from 2013-15, Pederson and the Chiefs went 31-17. During his three seasons the Chiefs ranked first in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (54), third in yards per carry (4.64) and seventh in total rushing yards (6,018). Cleveland Browns head coach Hue Jackson went 8-8 with an undermanned 2011 Raiders squad. After Oakland let him go he went to work for Cincinnati. He worked his way back up the coaching ladder, assuming coordinator duties after Jay Gruden was hired by the Redskins in 2014. New head coaches and new quarterbacks starting. Should be a little wild in week one as the coaches and players get to know one another.

Browns vs Eagles Odds, Totals, Time

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 11, 2016
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Betting Spread: Eagles -4
Total: 41

About Cleveland Browns (3-13)

When left tackle Joe Thomas is your best player on the team it usually isn’t a good sign. Yes, he has been selected to Pro Bowl in each of his nine seasons and has never missed snap in career. However, you would like it to be a running back or quarterback. Josh Gordon might be the best player but he is banned for the first four games of the season and won’t be a factor in this game. They did bring in Robert Griffin lll and he has some real upside but can also be a bust. Why not take a chance when you are 3-13?

On defense the Browns will be very young. Once again they have decided to rebuild. The top player on the defense is former Pro Bowler Joe Haden who missed 11 games last season with injuries and needs to bounce back.

Taking a look at the 2015 Browns, they ranked 30th in offensive scoring (17.4 points per game), 29th in defensive scoring (27.0 points per game) and, 32nd in point differential (-9.6 points per game). I could give more stats but they are all in the bottom rankings . While the went 3-13 straight up they did do a little better against the spread with a 5-10 record.

Cleveland Browns Betting Trends

Cleveland is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The Browns are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games on the road

About Philadelphia Eagles (7-9)

Who wants to be an NFL quarterback? Open tryouts to be held later this season in Philadelphia. Carson Wentz is a rookie and he will be starting on day one. In college he didn’t play in a pro style offense and in preseason he was hurt so he didn’t exactly get all of the reps. Then why? Because he is talented, smart and a leader. The other reason is to just let him start and see what you have. Now the bad news. If right tackle Lane Johnson is suspended for a second PED failure then the Eagles lose their best offensive lineman. Pro Bowl left tackle Jason Peters is living off his reputation and may lack incentive in a team that is building for next year. They have no real top talent at wide receiver or running back. Wide receiver Jordan Matthews might be in a good position if Wentz turns out to be ready to play on day one.

Looking at the 2015 Eagles stats. They ranked 13th on offense, scoring an average of 23.6 points per game. On defense they ranked 28th giving up 26.9 points per game. The point differential ranked 20th at -3.3 per game. A real problem for the Eagles was their inability to stop the run as they gave up 134.6 yards per game and ranked last in the NFL. This problem has not been addressed yet and will continue to be a trouble for the team in 2016.

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Browns vs Eagles Prediction

The Eagles were supposed to contend for the NFC East title. However, they traded away Bradford to Minnesota and decided to go instead with a rookie quarterback who didn’t even play in a pro style offense. It might not be what Eagles fans or players want this year but it could be a great move for the franchise. They get a first round pick for Bradford who was never going to be a top talent at quarterback. They get to break in the rookie and get some top talent next year. But, this isn’t next year. What about this game? Wentz will look bad. He might get off some good plays here and there but look for him to make several drive killing passes if not turnovers. The Browns have RG3 and he is a real threat to run out of the backfield. The one thing I like is it finally seems he got it in his head that he has to stay healthy so sliding after a run is a must.

This could be one of the more entertaining games of the day. Offensive and defensive breakdowns can lead to several big play opportunities. In the end the veteran presence that RG3 brings to the game will at the very least keep it close to the end. The Eagles inability to stop the run should give the Browns the opening they need to control the ball and stay close in the game. RG3 will be able to break off a few big runs against this defense. I am not taking the Browns to win but I am placing money on them and taking the four points. No wager on the total.

Cleveland vs Philadelphia Pick: Browns +4