Kansas City vs Houston NFL Free Pick

The Kansas City Chiefs handed the Texans a 27-20 home loss in Week 1 last year and then ended the Texans season with a 30-0 win in the AFC wild-card round. The Chiefs and Andy Reied have won 11 consecutive regular-season games. This isn’t the same Texans as last years team. On offense, Brock Osweiler has taken over at quarterback, at running back the Texans have Lamar Miller, and  at wide receiver rookie Will Fuller.

In week one, Houston was a 23-14 winner at home against the Bears. They covered the -4.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (37) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Kansas City was a 33-27 winner in its last game at home against the Chargers. They failed to cover the -6.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 60 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Kansas City vs Houston Preview

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 18, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
LINE: Houston -2.5.
Total: 43.
TV: CBS.

About Kansas City Chiefs (1-0):

Kansas City came out of Week 1 with a number of nagging injuries to key offensive players, as quarterback Alex Smith (elbow), running back Spencer Ware (toe) and receiver Jeremy Maclin (concussion) all have been limited in practice. However, all are expected to play this week. The Chiefs comeback in the second half was fueled by a defense that was able to shutdown the Chargers. However, Kansas City did give up 155 rushing yards and will have its hands full with Miller.

Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Chiefs are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston

About Houston Texans (1-0):

Osweiler’s first start for Houston as efficient as he went 22-for-35 for 231 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Running back Miller (106 rushing yards) and wide receiver  Fuller (five catches, 107 yards, TD) gave the Texans a balanced offense in defeating the Bears. The defense started off the year looking like where it left off last year by holding the Bears to 258 total yards.

Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Texans are 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Kansas City vs Houston Prediction

The Chiefs won twice in Houston last season, in large part because they took the ball away from the Texans seven times. This year’s defense, which had one sack and allowed Philip Rivers to complete almost 70 percent of his passes in Week 1, doesn’t look ready to create the turnovers that changed last year’s game. On the other side the Texans look like they have enough balance on offense to control the ball against the Kansas City defense. On offense, Kansas City could be in real trouble with injuries to the offensive line. The Texans defense should be able to control the line of scrimmage and force Alex Smith to run more and throw quicker than the Chiefs would like. The Texans defense should be the most dominate unit on the field today and that will allow the Texans offense to just be average to win the game. I am taking the Houston Texans up to -3 points. If it goes over -3 then I will either bet down the hook to three points or if that is not available I will take the Texans on the money line.

Chiefs vs Texans Pick: Texans -2