Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Free Prediction 11-03-16

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview

When: 8:25 PM ET, Thursday, November 3, 2016
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network. LINE: Falcons -3.5. O/U: 51
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Atlanta Falcons (5-3):

Julio Jones has amassed an NFC-best 859 yards and is averaging 20.0 yards per catch, but the electric wideout was hobbled by an ailing knee and finished with 29 yards receiving for the second time this season. While Jones is expected to play on Thursday, running back Tevin Coleman (hamstring) is listed as questionable after sitting out last week’s tilt versus the Packers. Devonta Freeman more than picked up the slack with a rushing and receiving touchdown last week and has 100-plus scrimmage yards in two of his last three contests, although he was limited to just 20 yards on 11 carries in the season-opening loss.

Atlanta was a 33-32 winner in its last match at home against the Packers. They failed to cover the -3-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 65 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Atlanta:
Team record: 5-3 SU,5-3 ATS
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 9 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4):

While Tampa Bay’s passing game is pretty well defined, the backfield has remained in motion through most of the season due to injury. Jacquizz Rodgers filled in admirably for Doug Martin (hamstring) before sustaining a sprained foot versus the Raiders, perhaps opening the door for a three-man backfield of Antone Smith, Peyton Barber and Mike James. Linebacker Kwon Alexander recorded 14 tackles versus Oakland last week, his highest total since collecting 17 in the season opener at Atlanta.

n their last action, Tampa Bay was a 30-24 loser at home against the Raiders. They failed to cover the +0-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (54) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Tampa Bay:
Team record: 3-4 SU,3-4 ATS
Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
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Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction

The Over has cashed in all but one Atlanta game this year, and that came against Denver’s elite defense. The Bucs have been slowed up in games against top-notch defenses, but Atlanta has been far from great this year on that side of the ball. The average total for Falcon games this year is 61 so the total is where all of my money is going tonight.

Falcons vs Buccaneers
Pick: Over 51 points