Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Sunday Night Football Predictions

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders Preview

Oakland won its last outing, a 30-24 result against the Buccaneers on October 30. The Raiders covered in that game as a pick, while the 54 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Denver was a 27-19 winner in its last match at home against the Chargers. They covered the -3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 46 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

The reigning Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos are in a tight three-way battle for supremacy in the AFC West and will visit the surprising Oakland Raiders on Sunday in a showdown for first place in the division. The Raiders are 5-0 on the road en route to their 6-2 mark and enter a stretch of four consecutive home games.

Derek Carr threw for a staggering 513 yards and four touchdowns in a 30-24 win at Tampa Bay as Oakland kept pace with Denver atop the division.  While the Raiders are off to their best start since 2001 behind a potent offense, the Broncos continue to flex the defensive muscles that paved their path to the Super Bowl last season. Denver has dominated the series in recent seasons, winning eight consecutive matchups before Oakland ended the streak in the Mile High City last December. Broncos are 7-1- 1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

NFL Game; Time, Date, TV, Odds

When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 6, 2016
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Pick, O/U: 43.5

Denver Broncos Preview (6-2):

Star cornerback Aqib Talib missed last week but, Denver has quality depth at the position as Bradley Roby stepped in for Talib and earned AFC Defensive Player of the Week honors after returning an interception for a touchdown in a 27-19 win at San Diego. Rookie running back Devontae Booker hurt his shoulder in his first start in place of an injury C.J. Anderson, but is expected to go against Oakland. Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas are the top two targets for Trevor Siemian with 44 and 42 receptions, respectively.

The Broncos won last week 27-19 over San Diego. The Broncos hit Philip Rivers 17 times, sacked him four times and intercepted three of his passes, including Bradley Roby’s 49-yard pick-6 that started it all. Rookie Devontae Booker, making his first career start with C.J. Anderson’s undergoing knee surgery three days earlier, also scored from 3 yards out after Darian Stewart’s 25-yard interception return gave Denver the ball at the San Diego 10.

The Broncos have forced an NFL best 16 turnovers and racked up a league-high 26 sacks during the first half of the season. Scoring on Denver hasn’t been easy either, as the Broncos held their opponents to 17 points per game, which ranks fifth overall in the NFL. Broncos linebacker DeMarcus Ware has 136.5 career sacks, the ninth-most all-time. With 1.5 sacks on Sunday at Oakland, Ware (136.5) would pass Hall of Famers John Randle and Richard Dent (137.5) for the eighth-most sacks since 1982.

One negative for the defense last week as it its first 100-yard rushing game to an opposing back since Week 2 of the 2015 season when Melvin Gordon finished with 111 yards on 23 carries. Gordon’s total included a 20-yard run, which was the fourth run of at least 20 yards the Broncos have surrendered this season. Last season, when the Broncos finished No. 1 in total defense, they surrendered five runs of at least 20 yards all season.

Trevor Siemian threw just one interception Sunday against the Chargers, and it was returned for a TD, but the first-year Broncos starter says there could have been more. Siemian threw four other passes that, if not for more than his share of lucky stars or the iffy hands of defensive players, could have been picked. Broncos coach Gary Kubiak alluded to some frustration with Siemian at his Monday press conference but has no plans of making a change. Siemian has thrown for eight touchdowns and four interceptions while posting a passer rating of 87.1.

Center Matt Paradis and cornerbacks Aqib Talib and Kayvon Webster were not on the field as the Broncos practiced this week. Paradis did not practice last week while he dealt with a hip injury, but he played against San Diego and handled every snap, just as he has for every game since the start of the 2015 season. Talib will be a game-time call. Webster injured his hamstring in the same game and was sidelined for most of it, leaving the work at No. 3 cornerback to Lorenzo Doss.

Denver Betting Trends:

Team record: 6-2 SU,6-2 ATS
Denver is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games on the road
Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Oakland Raiders Preview (6-2):

Carr leads the AFC with 17 touchdown passes versus only three interceptions and is getting a lot of mileage from his wide receiver tandem of Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree. Cooper had 12 catches for 173 yards and a touchdown last week to boost his team-leading total to 52 receptions while Crabtree hauled in his NFL high-tying sixth touchdown catch. Defense has been a nightmare for the Raiders, who are ranked 31st in the league, surrendering a total of 410.4 total yards while being equally generous against the run and pass. Khalil Mack, who has five of Oakland’s 11 sacks, recorded five in the win at Denver last season.

Raiders QB Derek Carr passed for 513 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions in the Raiders’ 30-24 overtime win at Tampa Bay, becoming the third quarterback in NFL history to pass for at least 500 yards and four touchdowns without an interception in a single game, joining Y.A. Tittle and Ben Roethlisberger. Carr, who set a single-game franchise record for yardage, recorded his seventh career game with at least three touchdown passes and zero interceptions, tying Hall of Famer Dan Marino for the most such games by a player in his first three seasons.

Against the Bucs, WRs Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree both went over the 100-yard receiving mark for the first time since Week 2 of 2015. Cooper turned in career highs in both receptions (12) and receiving yards (173) to go along with one touchdown, and Crabtree posted eight receptions for 108 yards. With the game tied in overtime, WR Seth Roberts caught a pass over the middle of the field on a fourth-and- 3, broke two tackles and raced 41 yards for the walkoff touchdown.

With 387 passing yards on Sunday night against Denver, Carr would become the fifth player with 900 passing yards in a two-game span in NFL history. Carr leads the league in pass attempts and has been dialed in, with 17 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Carr has also avoided sacks, having been caught behind the line of scrimmage just nine times, despite all of those pass attempts. The only full-time starter who has been sacked fewer times this season is New England’s Tom Brady (eight times), and Brady missed the first four games of the season while suspended.

Oakland Raiders Betting Trends:

Team record: 6-2 SU,5-3 ATS
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Oakland’s last 19 games at home
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders Pick:

Both Broncos-Raiders matchups stayed Under the total last season, but I don’t think we’ll see a low-scoring game this time around. Denver can’t trust its running game with RB Devontae Booker because he jas trouble hanging on to the ball and QB Siemian had some passes that should have been intercepted last week. I am looking for the lowly Raiders defense to get a few turnovers and place the offense in a position for some quick scores. Derek Carr is going to get his points as well, especially in the fourth quarter when he is almost unstoppable.

Betting Pick: Over 43.5 Points