Dolphins vs Bengals Preview Week 4

Date – 8:30 PM EST, Thursday, September 29, 2016
Location – Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Line: Bengals -6.5
Total: 43.5
TV: NFL Network

Dolphins vs Bengals Betting Trends

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home
Cincinnati17-6-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami Dolphins (1-2)

Last week against the Cleveland Browns quarterback Ryan Tannehill was 25/39 for 319 yards with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The Dolphins were 10 point favorites and did not cover as they were able to pull out a 30-24 win in overtime. The Dolphins were supposed to dominate the Browns but the Dolphins defense was susceptible to the run. The Browns ran for 169 yards and averaged 5.3 a carry. In fact, the Browns should have won but a Cody Parky missed a field goal as time ran out.
Going to Cincinnati and winning is not going to be easy. The Bengals will be up after losing to a Broncos team that they thought they should have beaten.

Cincinnati Bengals (1-2)

What happened? They had the Broncos at home and were going against a no name quarterback. Trevor Siemian was 23/35 312 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception. The Bengals concentrated on stopping the run and did a good job of it but they never generated enough of a pass rush to get Siemian out of his game. The Bengals made a commitment to run the ball and were effective but the Broncos pass rush in Andy Dalton’s face and caused several errant passes along with 4 quarterback sacks.

Dolphins vs Bengals Prediction:

The Dolphins let the Browns back in the game last week and ended up getting lucky on a Browns missed field goal that should have won the game. These two teams are both treading water right now and both need this one if they are going to be a playoff contender later in the year. The offense for both teams has been below average with the Dolphins ranking 26th in scoring and the Bengals 19th. Take a look at the running game for both and the Bengals rank 31st in rushing yards while the Dolphins rank 27th. On defense, Miami is 25th in total yards and the Bengals are 14th. What we have here are two below average teams.

The Bengals offensive line was dominated by the Broncos and the Dolphins defensive line is not as good as Denver but it is good enough to get the better of the Bengals. The point spread does not reflect recent play by the Bengals and is over inflated. I have these two team rated about even and with home field worth 3 points anything over that is a bonus. I am taking the Dolphins +6.5.

Dolphins vs Bengals Pick: Dolphins +6.5