NFL Week 5 Free Predictions 10-09-16

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Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 9, 2016
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Betting Line: Colts -4.5.
Total: 47.5

Bears vs Colts Betting Trends

In their last action, Chicago was a 17-14 winner at home against the Lions. They covered the +3-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (31) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Chicago:
Team record: 1-3 SU,1-3 ATS
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

Indianapolis lost its last outing, a 30-27 result against the Jaguars on October 02. The Colts failed to cover in that game as a -1-point favorite, while the 57 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Indianapolis:
Team record: 1-3 SU,1-3 ATS
Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Indianapolis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games
Indianapolis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Indianapolis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis’s last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

Bears vs Colts Prediction

Brian Hoyer has shown chemistry with tight end Zach Miller, and that’s great news for this matchup, as the Colts are last in the league at defending tight ends, per DVOA. The Indy defense as a whole ranks 30th. The Colts have lost to some beatable teams, and their only win was because of a Chargers meltdown. With Hoyer under center, I like the Bears’ chances to keep this one close, and I figure it’ll come down to a field goal, either way.
After three quarters last week, Andrew Luck had only thrown for 47 yards. The Colts could be jet-lagged this week; most teams get a bye after playing in London.

Bears vs Colts Pick: Bears +4.5

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New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 9, 2016
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio
TV: CBS.
Betting Line: Patriots -10.5.
Total: 46.5
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Patriots vs Browns Betting Trends

In their last action, New England was a 16-0 loser at home against the Bills. They failed to cover the -3.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (16) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

New England:
Team record: 3-1 SU,3-1 ATS
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
New England is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
New England is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
New England is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New England is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games when playing Cleveland
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Cleveland was a 31-20 loser in its last match on the road against the Redskins. They failed to cover the +7.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 51 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Cleveland:
Team record: 0-4 SU,1-3 ATS
Current Streak: lost 4 straight games.
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 9 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games when playing New England
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England

Patriots vs Browns Prediction

If Brady had played the first four games of the season I could see him taking it easy in this game and the Browns getting a late cover. Nope, Brady is back and he is going to let everyone know it. There is no rust with this guy because he has spent his entire career in this system. The only question is how much does he want to let the jackass in charge of the league, Rodger Goodell feel the revenge. Goodell is an idiot who took over the best entertainment franchise in America and has manged to find a way to lower television ratings. I am going to love it because every Brady touchdown is a finger in Goodells’ face.

Patriots vs Browns Pick: Patriots -10.5

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Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, October 9, 2016
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado
TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX.
Betting Line: Broncos -5.5.
Total: 47

Falcons vs Broncos Betting Trends

Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 48-33 winner as they battled the Panthers at home. The Falcons covered in the match as a +3-point underdog, while 81 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Atlanta:
Team record: 3-1 SU,3-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta’s last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 9 games when playing Denver
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver

Last time out for Denver, they were a 27-7 winner as they battled the Buccaneers on the road. The Broncos covered in the match as a -3.5-point favorite, while 34 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Denver:
Team record: 4-0 SU,4-0 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver’s last 9 games when playing Atlanta

Falcons vs Broncos Predictions

The Falcons have rode Julio Jones and Matt Ryan to two of their three wins, but the matchup is really tough. Jones will deal with some of the toughest corners in the game and Ryan will deal with a strong Broncos pass rush. Denver hasn’t given up 20 or more points in nine straight games. The Broncos are getting about 10 QB hits a game, which will make things uncomfortable for Matt Ryan. There’s also the track record of Ryan versus Wade Phillips-coached defenses — he’s 0-2 with multiple interceptions in each game.

Falcons vs Broncos Pick: Denver -4.5

 

Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 9, 2016
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
Betting: Bengals -1.
Total: 45

Bengals vs Cowboys Betting Trends

Cincinnati was a 22-7 winner in its last match at home against the Dolphins. They covered the -7.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 29 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Cincinnati:
Team record: 2-2 SU,1-2-1 ATS
Cincinnati is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 15 games
Cincinnati is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 15 games
Cincinnati is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games when playing Dallas
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas

Dallas was a 24-17 winner in its last match on the road against the 49ers. They covered the -1.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 41 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Dallas:
Team record: 3-1 SU,3-0-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
Dallas is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games
Dallas is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’s last 9 games
Dallas is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’s last 9 games
Dallas is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Dallas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
Dallas is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas’s last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

Bengals vs Cowboys Prediction

The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and the Cowboys, despite covering against the Bears, are generally a bad home bet (16-34-1 ATS). The Bengals’ defense looked fierce with leader Vontaze Burfict back in the fold, and the Cowboys’ pass defense is no match for A.J. Green. Even if Tyler Eifert can’t make it back, I like the Bengals’ offensive line to control the game. Dallas WR Dez Bryant (knee) is unlikely to play.

Bengals vs Cowboys Pick: Bengals -2

San Diego Chargers vs Oakland Raiders

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 9, 2016
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
Betting Lines: Raiders -4.
Total: 49.5

Chargers vs Raiders Betting Trends

Last time out for San Diego, they were a 35-34 loser as they battled the Saints at home. The Chargers failed to cover in the match as a -3.5-point favorite, while 69 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
San Diego:
Team record: 1-3 SU,2-2 ATS
San Diego is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oakland
San Diego is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
San Diego is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Oakland was a 28-27 winner in its last match on the road against the Ravens. They covered the +3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 55 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Oakland:
Team record: 3-1 SU,3-1 ATS
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oakland’s last 17 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland’s last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland’s last 9 games when playing at home against San Diego
Oakland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Diego
Oakland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against San Diego

Chargers vs Raiders Prediction

The Raiders have been out gained in all four games but have won three of them. The Chargers continue to shoot themselves in the foot and deal with key injuries, as now cornerback Jason Verrett is lost for the season. Lets take a look at the total scores of games so far.

Raiders games; (69, 63, 27, 55), Chargers games; (60, 52, 48, 69)

Chargers vs Raiders Pick: Over 51 (up to 53.5)