Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots
Free Expert Pick From Las Vegas 11-13-16

Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots Preview

Where: Gillette Stadium – Foxborough, Massaschusetts
When: Sunday, November 13, 8:30 PM ET
Line: Seattle Seahawks (TBA) at New England Patriots (TBA) – view all NFL lines
TV Broadcast: NBC
NFL-Live-Lines

Last Week Betting Recap

New England won its last outing, a 41-25 result against the Bills on October 30. The Patriots covered in that game as a -5.5-point favorite, while the 66 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Seattle was a 31-25 winner in its last match at home against the Bills. They earned a push of the -6-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 56 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Seattle: Team record: 5-2-1 SU,3-4-1 ATS

The Seahawks finally ended their two-game winless run with a hard-fought 31-25 home win over the Buffalo Bills and improved to 5-2-1 (3-5 ATS) on the season.

Russell Wilson had arguably his best game of the year. He went 20-of-26 for 282 yards and two touchdowns. Both of those touchdowns were caught one-handed by Jimmy Graham, who led the way with eight catches for 103 yards.

Wilson seems to be recovered from the knee injury he suffered early in the season. He looked much more comfortable running the football and scored his first rushing touchdown.

Even with a struggling running game, the Seahawks offense should be in good hands with Wilson finally moving like he’s accustomed to. The Pats pass rush has been close to nonexistent this season, so Wilson likely won’t find himself in as much pressure as usual.

But as hard as it must be to fathom, defense will be the bigger concern for the Seahawks. They’ve now allowed their opponents to score on 10 of their last 13 possessions. That recent slump has coincided with Michael Bennett’s absence, which has greatly reduced the pass rush’s effectiveness. If the Seahawks D can’t put Tom Brady in any sort of pressure, they will be sitting ducks as the Pats pick them apart.

NFL at Sportsbetting Odds & Bonus

Seattle is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Seattle is 12-4-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games
Seattle12-4-1 SU in its last 17 games
Seahawks are 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle’s last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing New England
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England

New England: Team record: 7-1 SU,7-1 ATS

The Pats have remained untouchable with Tom Brady at the helm. They scored another convincing 41-25 win against the Buffalo Bills prior to their bye. In the four games Brady has played, the Pats are averaging 34 points. They’re 4-0 against the spread, and have won those games by an average of 16.3 points.

Brady is also benefiting from a fully healthy Rob Gronkowski. Gronk has averaged 118 receiving yards with Brady at quarterback, and has caught a touchdown in three-straight games.

The Pats will catch the Seahawks at a good time. The usually shutdown Seattle defense has had a lot of trouble on third down in recent weeks. They’ve allowed the Saints and Bills to go a combined 21-of-32 on third down.

The Pats are one of the very best in the NFL at keeping the chains moving. They’re fourth in the league in third-down conversion at 47.2 percent. New England hasn’t had too much trouble moving the ball on a full-strength Seahawks defense (see: Super Bowl XLIX, where Brady went for 328 with 4 TDs), and they should be even more effective against Seattle’s shorthanded unit.

Much has been made of the Pats’ decision to trade linebacker Jamie Collins, but the bye should have given Bill Belichick sufficient time to get his defense ready. Unsurprisingly, Belichick has a terrific record after the bye, going 12-4 in his time in New England.

NFL at Sportsbetting Odds & Bonus

Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
New England is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games at home
New England is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
New England is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing Seattle
New England is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Patriots are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
Betting Prediction:

Seattle has had its issues against the number, only covering once in the last six weeks. And the Patriots defeated a more dominant Seattle defense in the Super Bowl two seasons ago. Yet, this is a spot where the Seahawks can pose a challenge on the road for four quarters. Last week we saw a healthier Russell Wilson make things happen. The Patriots have won and covered every week since Tom Brady came back, and by a large margin. Their average score has been 34-17 in those games and the average spread has been -7.5. However, in this one as long as I can get over a touchdown I am on the Seahawks.
NFL at Sportsbetting Odds & Bonus

Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
Betting Pick: Seattle Seahawks +7.5