Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
Wild Card Yankees ML -235 Total 7.5 -110

GAME: Minnesota Twins (85-77) at New York Yankees (91-71)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, October 03 – 8:00 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York

Twins vs Yankees
Wild Card Betting Preview

The New York Yankees have dominated the Minnesota Twins in the postseason and have defeated Minnesota in the AL Division Series in 2003, 2004, 2009 and 2010, winning 12 of 14 games. The Twins do not have a great post season history against anyone and have lost 12 straight playoff games and 19 of their last 21 dating to the 2002 ALCS.

Starting Pitchers:
Twins RH Ervin Santana (16-8, 3.28 ERA) vs
Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98)

The Twins authored one of the great turnarounds in baseball history by going from 59 victories in 2016 to 85 this year. Ervin Santana is 0-5 with a 6.43 ERA in six career starts at Yankee Stadium. This season Santana tied Cleveland’s Corey Kluber, the AL Cy Young Award favorite, for most shutouts (three) and complete games (five). His last start at Yankee Stadium on September 18th he allowed two runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings. Judge went deep in that one against Santana.

Severino went 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA in five September starts and struck out 38 in 30 innings. However, during that dominating stretch there was a three-inning, three-run game against Minnesota, He was pulled following a 46-pitch third inning. This will be the first post season for Aaron Judge who led the AL in homers (52) and walks (127).

Twins vs Yankees Betting Trends

Minnesota Twins

Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees

New York Yankees

NY Yankees is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games
NY Yankees is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
NY Yankees is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees’s last 8 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Twins vs Yankees Wild Card
Betting Prediction

There is a lot of money going down on the Yankees. Lets face it the Yankees have the post season history and more importantly there is a lot more money on Wall Street than in Minneapolis. Those stock brokers will take some time away from betting on stocks to do a little sports betting. For me that works out. Since I am laying my money on the Twins. Ervin Santana is a veteran and I like that in an all or nothing game. No bet on the total but I would lean to the under.

I am going to take a blended bet or the +1 bet.

50% on Minnesota ML +200
50% on Minnesota RL (+1.5) -105)

Score Prediction:
Twins 4 – Yankees 3