Yankees vs Indians
ALDS Game 1 Prediction

New York Yankees (92-71) at Cleveland Indians (102-60)
Thursday, October 05 – 7:30 PM EST
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
Betting Line: Cleveland -142
Total: 8.5 Over +100

Starting Pitchers:

Yankees RH Sonny Gray (10-12, 3.55 ERA) vs
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (17-9, 4.19)

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The Yankees used the bullpen to get 26 outs after starter Luis Severino only got one out and gave up three runs in in the first inning Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins. They used: Chad Green, David Robertson, Tommy Kahnle and Aroldis Chapman in an 8-4 victory.  Gray went 4-7 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 starts after being acquired from the Oakland Athletics. However, September was not kind to him as he gave up nine home runs in 35 1/3 innings. He pitched against Cleveland in his New York debut in August and was ripped for six runs on six hits0(2 home runs) in just 4 2/3 innings.

The Indians finished 2017 with 33 wins in their last 37 games. Why is Bauer starting game one? He went 9-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last 13 games (12 starts) and allowed two runs in 13 innings over his final two starts.

Betting Trends

New York Yankees

NY Yankees is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
NY Yankees is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees’s last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Cleveland Indians

Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

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Yankees vs Indians ALDS
Game 1 Prediction

Right now the Indians are the best team in baseball. They have the pitching depth to stay in every game and they are at home and rested. The Yankees had to use everyone against the Twins and I like the Cleveland bats to get started early in this one. If the Yankees give up 4 or 5 runs in the first two innings they might as well just send in the scrubs and come back rested for game 2.

Bet & Score Prediction:
50% on Indians ML (-138)
40% on Indians RL (+158)
10% on Indians ML & Over 8.5
Score: Indians 9 – Yankees 3